EXCLUSIVE: NEW RFK JR. ARTICLE ON DIEBOLD SAYS ‘ELECTRONIC VOTING CAN’T BE TRUSTED’!

EXTENDED EXCERPTS FROM THE ARTICLE...

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who filed a landmark article last June in Rolling Stone concerning evidence of a stolen 2004 Presidential Election in Ohio, is set to rock the country again in tomorrow’s Rolling Stone, The BRAD BLOG can now report.

The issue is currently on the stands in some sections of LA and NY, and will be available across the nation tomorrow.

Through interviews with a number of BRAD BLOG insider sources over the past several months, Kennedy, along with co-writer Dick Russell, will expose a plethora of new details concerning the scandalous and outrageous overtaking of our public election system by private companies such Diebold, ES&S, Sequoia and others.

The article is titled: “Will The Next Election Be Hacked? – Fresh disasters at the polls — and new evidence from an industry insider — prove that electronic voting machines can’t be trusted”.

Many of the items covered may be familiar to readers here, as a good number of them were originally broken on these very pages over the last year or so. We worked closely with Kennedy and Russell on this story during its development over the past several months.

The article, however, covers several new and sometimes explosive details of Diebold’s rollouts in both Georgia and Maryland dating back to 2002, as well as Florida, Ohio and Texas in 2004.

Characterizing the unchecked spread of electronic voting as “insane,” Kennedy and Russell conclude, “It is time for Americans to reclaim our democracy from private interests.”

Some of the damning details covered in the extensive piece include: the now-infamous and mysterious patch applied to the paperless touch-screen systems in GA just prior to the Chambliss/Cleland election; the presence of Diebold elections division president Bob Urosevich in the tabulation room in MD in 2002; Diebold’s interest in downplaying, hiding the significance of several scientific reports in 2004 warning of the vulnerabilities in their machines; Rep. Bob Ney’s (R-OH) involvement with former staffers and Diebold lobbyists in passing the Help America Vote Act (HAVA) through congress; ES&S shenanigans in Texas in 2004; E-Voting anomalies in Ohio and Florida may have given the election to George W. Bush; the Diebold electronic voting machine which kicked off the 2000 Presidential Election debacle…

The article is now posted in full at the RS website. Extended excerpts from the article follow below…

###

…TROUBLE COMING THIS NOVEMBER…

[A]s midterm elections approach this November, electronic voting machines are making things worse instead of better. Studies have demonstrated that hackers can easily rig the technology to fix an election ““ and across the country this year, faulty equipment and lax security have repeatedly undermined election primaries. In Tarrant County, Texas, electronic machines counted some ballots as many as six times, recording 100,000 more votes than were actually cast. In San Diego, poll workers took machines home for unsupervised “sleepovers” before the vote, leaving the equipment vulnerable to tampering.

“Every board of election has staff members with the technological ability to fix an election,” Ion Sancho, an election supervisor in Leon County, Florida, told me. “Even one corrupt staffer can throw an election. Without paper records, it could happen under my nose and there is no way I’d ever find out about it. With a few key people in the right places, it would be possible to throw a presidential election.”

Much more now below…

###

…DIEBOLD TOOK OVER GEORGIA IN 2002, AND ELECTIONS STARTED FLIPPING!…

[Diebold contractor Chris] Hood had been present in May 2002, when officials with [Democratic Secretary of State, Cathy] Cox’s office signed a contract with Diebold ““ paying the company a record $54 million to install 19,000 electronic voting machines across the state. At a restaurant inside Atlanta’s Marriott Hotel, he noticed the firm’s CEO, Walden O’Dell, checking Diebold’s stock price on a laptop computer every five minutes, waiting for a bounce from the announcement.

Hood wondered why Diebold, the world’s third-largest seller of ATMs, had been awarded the contract. The company had barely completed its acquisition of Global Election Systems, a voting-machine firm that owned the technology Diebold was promising to sell Georgia. And its bid was the highest among nine competing vendors. Whispers within the company hinted that a fix was in.

“The Diebold executives had a news conference planned on the day of the award,” Hood recalls, “and we were instructed to stay in our hotel rooms until just hours before the announcement. They didn’t want the competitors to know and possibly file a protest” about the lack of a fair bidding process. It certainly didn’t hurt that Diebold had political clout: Cox’s predecessor as secretary of state, Lewis Massey, was now a lobbyist for the company.

[Diebold] was authorized to put together ballots, program machines and train poll workers across the state ““ all without any official supervision. “We ran the election,” says Hood. “We had 356 people that Diebold brought into the state. Diebold opened and closed the polls and tabulated the votes. Diebold convinced Cox that it would be best if the company ran everything due to the time constraints, and in the interest of a trouble-free election, she let us do it.”

With the primaries looming, [Diebold Election Unit President, Bob] Urosevich was personally distributing a “patch,” a little piece of software designed to correct glitches in the computer program. “We were told that it was intended to fix the clock in the system, which it didn’t do,” Hood says. “The curious thing is the very swift, covert way this was done.”

“We were told not to talk to county personnel about it. I received instructions directly from Urosevich. It was very unusual that a president of the company would give an order like that and be involved at that level.”

“We had control of everything. The state gave us the keys to the castle, so to speak, and they stayed out of our way.” Hood personally patched fifty-six machines and witnessed the patch being applied to more than 1,200 others.

Six days before the vote, polls showed Sen. Max Cleland, a decorated war veteran and Democratic incumbent, leading his Republican opponent Saxby Chambliss ““ darling of the Christian Coalition ““ by five percentage points. In the governor’s race, Democrat Roy Barnes was running a decisive eleven points ahead of Republican Sonny Perdue. But on Election Day, Chambliss won with fifty-three percent of the vote, and Perdue won with fifty-one percent.

Hood says it was “common knowledge” within the company that Diebold also illegally installed uncertified software in machines used in the 2004 presidential primaries ““ a charge the company denies.

###

…POINTING OUT THAT ELECTRONIC VOTING MACHINES BEGAN THE 2000 ELECTION DEBACLE!…

The voting-machine companies bear heavy blame for the 2000 presidential-election disaster. Fox News’ fateful decision to call Florida for Bush ““ followed minutes later by CBS and NBC ““ came after electronic machines in Volusia County erroneously subtracted more than 16,000 votes from Al Gore’s total. Later, after an internal investigation, CBS described the mistake as “critical” in the network’s decision. Seeing what was an apparent spike for Bush, Gore conceded the election ““ then reversed his decision after a campaign staffer investigated and discovered that Gore was actually ahead in Volusia by 13,000 votes.

Investigators traced the mistake to Global Election Systems, the firm later acquired by Diebold. Two months after the election, an internal memo from Talbot Iredale, the company’s master programmer, blamed the problem on a memory card that had been improperly ““ and unnecessarily ““ uploaded. “There is always the possibility,” Iredale conceded, “that the ‘second memory card’ or ‘second upload’ came from an unauthorized source.”

Amid the furor over hanging chads and butterfly ballots in Florida, however, the “faulty memory card” was all but forgotten. Instead of sharing culpability for the Florida catastrophe, voting-machine companies used their political clout to present their product as the solution. In October 2002, President Bush signed the Help America Vote Act, requiring states and counties to upgrade their voting systems with electronic machines and giving vast sums of money to state officials to distribute to the tightknit cabal of largely Republican vendors.

###

…REP. BOB NEY (R-OH) HAMMERS THROUGH HAVA FOR DIEBOLD LOBBYISTS, ASSOCIATES…

As The BRAD BLOG originally reported in our exposé in January, the now-disgraced congressman Bob Ney — with help from cohorts at Diebold, including Ney’s former chief of staff and Jack Abramoff’s Greenburg Traurig firm — were behind the passage of the disastrous Help America Vote Act (HAVA) from the beginning…

The primary author and steward of HAVA was Rep. Bob Ney, the GOP chairman of the powerful U.S. House Administration Committee. Ney had close ties to the now-disgraced lobbyist Jack Abramoff, whose firm received at least $275,000 from Diebold to lobby for its touch-screen machines. Ney’s former chief of staff, David DiStefano, also worked as a registered lobbyist for Diebold, receiving at least $180,000 from the firm to lobby for HAVA and “other election reform issues.” Ney ““ who accepted campaign contributions from DiStefano and counted Diebold’s then-CEO O’Dell among his constituents ““ made sure that HAVA strongly favored the use of the company’s machines.

###

…DIEBOLD TAKES OVER MARYLAND’S ELECTION IN 2002…

On [mid-term] Election Night [in 2002], when Chris Hood accompanied Diebold president Bob Urosevich and marketing director Mark Radke to the tabulation center in Montgomery County where the votes would be added up, he was stunned to find the room empty. “Not a single Maryland election official was there to retrieve the memory cards,” he recalls. As cards containing every vote in the county began arriving in canvas bags, the Diebold executives plugged them into a group of touch-screen tabulators linked into a central server, which was also controlled by a Diebold employee.

“It would have been very easy for any one of us to take a contaminated card out of our pocket, put it into the system, and download some malicious code that would then end up in the server, impacting every other vote that went in, before and after,” says Hood. “We had absolute control of the tabulations. We could have fixed the election if we wanted. We had access, and that’s all you need. I can honestly say that every election I saw with Diebold in charge was compromised ““ if not in the count, at least in the security.”

###

…DIEBOLD SOUGHT TO HIDE PROBLEMS FOUND IN SCIENTIFIC REPORT…

The other analysis, commissioned by the Maryland legislature, was a practical test of the systems by RABA Technologies, a consulting firm experienced in both defense and intelligence work for the federal government. Computer scientists hired by RABA to hack into six of Diebold’s machines discovered a major flaw: The company had built what are known as “back doors” into the software that could enable a hacker to hide an unauthorized and malicious code in the system. William Arbaugh, of the University of Maryland, gave the Diebold system an “F” with “the possibility of raising it to a ‘C’ with extra credit ““ that is, if they follow the recommendations we gave them.”

But according to recent e-mails obtained by Rolling Stone, Diebold not only failed to follow up on most of the recommendations, it worked to cover them up. Michael Wertheimer, who led the RABA study, now serves as an assistant deputy director in the Office of the Director of National Intelligence. “We made numerous recommendations that would have required Diebold to fix these issues,” he writes in one e-mail, “but were rebuffed by the argument that the machines were physically protected and could not be altered by someone outside the established chain of custody.”

In another e-mail, Wertheimer says that Diebold and state officials worked to downplay his team’s dim assessment. “We spent hours dealing with Diebold lobbyists and election officials who sought to minimize our impact,” he recalls. “The results were risk-managed in favor of expediency and potential catastrophe.”

###

…E-VOTING ANOMALIES IN OHIO AND FLORIDA IN 2004 MAY HAVE GIVEN THE ELECTION TO BUSH…

In Ohio, jammed and inoperable machines were reported throughout Toledo. In heavily Democratic areas of Youngstown, nearly 100 voters pushed “Kerry” and watched “Bush” light up. At least twenty machines had to be recalibrated in the middle of the voting process for flipping Kerry votes to Bush. Similar “vote hopping” was reported by voters in other states.

The widespread glitches didn’t deter Secretary of State J. Kenneth Blackwell ““ who also chaired Bush’s re-election campaign in Ohio ““ from cutting a deal in 2005 that would have guaranteed Diebold a virtual monopoly on vote counting in the state. Local election officials alleged that the deal, which came only a few months after Blackwell bought nearly $10,000 in Diebold stock, was a violation of state rules requiring a fair and competitive bidding process. Facing a lawsuit, Blackwell agreed to allow other companies to provide machines as well. This November, voters in forty-seven counties will cast their ballots on Diebold machines ““ in a pivotal election in which Blackwell is running as the Republican candidate for governor.

Electronic voting machines also caused widespread problems in Florida, where Bush bested Kerry by 381,000 votes. When statistical experts from the University of California examined the state’s official tally, they discovered a disturbing pattern: “The data show with 99.0 percent certainty that a county’s use of electronic voting is associated with a disproportionate increase in votes for President Bush. Compared to counties with paper ballots, counties with electronic voting machines were significantly more likely to show increases in support for President Bush between 2000 and 2004.” The three counties with the most discrepancies ““ Broward, Palm Beach and Miami-Dade ““ were also the most heavily Democratic. Electronic voting machines, the report concluded, may have improperly awarded as many as 260,000 votes to Bush. “No matter how many factors and variables we took into consideration, the significant correlation in the votes for President Bush and electronic voting cannot be explained,” said Michael Hout, a member of the National Academy of Sciences.

###

…ES&S, HART INTERCIVIC WHISTLEBLOWER WILLIAM SINGER TALKS TEXAS…

The ES&S and Hart InterCivic whistleblower, William Singer, who The BRAD BLOG originally exposed in an exclusive in March as having tried to contact officials in both Texas and Ohio to alert them to problems (he was ignored) speaks more about what happened in Texas in 2004 [emphasis ours]…

Questions also arose in Texas in 2004. William Singer, an election programmer in Tarrant County, wrote the secretary of state’s office after the vote to report that ES&S pressured officials to install unapproved software during the presidential primaries. “What I was expected to do in order to ‘pull off’ an election,” Singer wrote, “was far beyond the kind of practices that I believe should be standard and accepted in the election industry.” The company denies the charge, but in an e-mail this month, Singer elaborated that ES&S employees had pushed local election officials to pressure the secretary of state to accept “a software change at such a last minute there would be no choice, and effectively avoid certification.”

Despite such reports, Texas continues to rely on ES&S. In primaries held in Jefferson County earlier this year, electronic votes had to be recounted after error messages prevented workers from completing their tabulations. In April, with early voting in local elections only a week away, officials across the state were still waiting to receive the programming from ES&S needed to test the machines for accuracy. Calling the situation “completely unacceptable and disturbing,” Texas director of elections Ann McGeehan authorized local officials to create “emergency paper ballots” as a backup.

###

…IN CONCLUSION…’INSANITY’ AND THE BRAD BLOG…

It seems insane that such clear threats to our election system have not stopped the proliferation of touch-screen technology. In 2004, twenty-three percent of Americans cast their votes on electronic ballots ““ an increase of twelve percent over 2000. This year, more than one-third of the nation’s 8,000 voting jurisdictions are expected to use electronic voting technology for the first time.

The heartening news is, citizens are starting to fight back. Voting-rights activists with the Brad Blog and Black Box Voting are getting the word out. Voter Action, a nonprofit group, has helped file lawsuits in Arizona, New York, Pennsylvania, Colorado and New Mexico to stop the proliferation of touch-screen systems. In California, voters filed suit last March to challenge the use of a Diebold touch-screen system ““ a move that has already prompted eight counties to sign affidavits saying they won’t use the machines in November.

electronic voting machines are a hacker’s dream. And today, for-profit companies are being given unprecedented and frightening power not only to provide these machines but to store and count our votes in secret, without any real oversight.

You do not have to believe in conspiracy theories to fear for the integrity of our electoral system: The right to vote is simply too important ““ and too hard won ““ to be surrendered without a fight. It is time for Americans to reclaim our democracy from private interests.

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EXCLUSIVE: NEW RFK JR. ARTICLE ON DIEBOLD SAYS ‘ELECTRONIC VOTING CAN’T BE TRUSTED’!

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29 Responses

  1. 1)
    Laura said on 9/21/2006 @ 12:49pm PT: [Permalink]

    WOW, Thanks for the update Brad, as always great work. More Soon, I can’t wait! I think I’ll send this to my repesenatives TOO. I have so had it with all this BULLSHIT from these criminally challenged politicos. Had Enough……. Oh YeaH!

  2. 3)
    Arry said on 9/21/2006 @ 2:39pm PT: [Permalink]

    Great news, Brad. Have to keep pouring it on in all kinds of ways. Good for RFK, Jr. and “Rolling Stone”.

  3. 4)
    clara said on 9/21/2006 @ 2:56pm PT: [Permalink]

    Forget the prospect of these problems being solved before the mid-terms. There simply is no time left. The strategy now should be for the Democrats to start working on their own hack plan — and to widely publicize their intent to steal this election. That’s the only thing that could possibly get the attention of the decision-makers on this issue. So tell everyone you know, start spreading the word now: Democrats need to start planning their strategy right away for how to steal this election. Who’s going to be in the critical positions? What code will be used? Who will ensure that the hacking was done? Believe me, there are far more Democrat-leaning hackers out there than there are Republican-leaning hackers. Steal steal steal. This is how they want to play the game. So let’s give ’em what they want!

  4. 5)
    Floridiot said on 9/21/2006 @ 3:10pm PT: [Permalink]

    Chambliss/Saxby election ? I guess thats what it really was (don’t forget Cleland, though) 😉

  5. 7)
    TruthIsAll said on 9/21/2006 @ 4:09pm PT: [Permalink]

    The Electoral vote is the one that matters, but the fact is that an unpopular president had to overcome massive democratic registration through disenfranchisement, spoiled votes AND vote switching in order to get his 3 million “mandate”.

    One needs to take into account the Final Exit Poll, in which 43% of 2004 voters claimed they voted for Bush in 2000 and just 37% for Gore. But 43% of 122.3mm is 52.57mm, and Bush only got 50.46mm votes in 2000. Since about 1.7mm of them died, this means that the Final inflated Bush’s vote by over 4mm and reduced Kerry’s vote by 4mm. Since Bush won the recorded vote by 62-59mm, the 4 million phantom votes suggests that Kerry actually won by 63-58mm (not including “spoiled” or lost votes which were never counted. See below.) Do you have another explanation?

    In addition, the pre-election polls matched the exit polls, when the pre-election polls are adjusted for the allocation of a solid majority of the undecided vote to Kerry. Pre-election state and national polls matched the exit polls to within 0.5%. Since they matched, what does this tell us about exit poll nonresponse bias?

    Democratic new voter turnout was so strong that Bush needed more then the usual kickstart that Republicans get from old-fashioned voter disenfranchisement, spoiled votes and long lines in democratic voting precincts. To get his mandate, Bushco had NO choice; they needed electronic switching of Kerry votes to Bush votes in the voting machines or central tabulators. It has been proven time and again (most recently at Princeton) that the machines could easily have been hacked. And if they needed to do it, what would stop them? If a vote for Kerry was counted for Bush, would that not show up in the exit poll? And if there was massive fraud, where else would it show up other than the exit polls? Vote switching without a paper ballot cannot be proved.

    But we know from the EIRS database that of about 88 vote switching incidents, 86 were Kerry to Bush. Not ONE vote should have switched. These were not programming or computer “glitches”. Machines don’t make mistakes unless they are programmed to. The programmers made sure that Bush got the vast majority of the switched votes. Of course, they worked for the Republican controlled voting machine companies. It is totally naive for anyone to believe that the 3 million electronic votes which Bush needed to obtain his 3mm “mandate” (in addition to Kerry votes lost to “spoilage”) would NOT have been switched.
    Means, Motive, Opportunity.

    If we are to believe the Census, 125.7mm votes were cast, a significant discrepancy from the 122.3mm recorded vote. Let’s assume the 3.4mm difference is due to “spoiled” or lost votes. Since over 75% of spoiled votes are primarily in minority districts, we can esitimate that Kerry lost 2.5mm and Bush 0.9mm votes. Then 3mm switched votes from Kerry to Bush would account for the 12:22am National Exit Poll result (Kerry won by 51-48%).

    Start with the recorded vote:
    Bush: 62mm
    Kerry: 59mm

    Add the spoiled votes which were never counted:
    Bush = 62.9 = 62+0.9
    Kerry = 61.5 = 59+2.5

    Now return the 3mm votes switched from Kerry to Bush to get the true vote:
    Kerry = 64.5 = 61.5 + 3.0 = 51.3%
    Bush = 59.9 = 62.9 – 3.0 = 47.6%

    THE NATIONAL EXIT POLL
    HOW VOTED IN 2000 DEMOGRAPHIC

    Assuming MAXIMUM FEASIBLE National Exit Poll “How Voted in 2000” weightings and 100% Bush/Gore 2000 voter turnout in 2004, Kerry is the clear winner in BOTH timelines.

    We first prove that the NEP “How Voted in 2000” weights for both the 12:22am (41/39%) and 1:25 pm (43/37%) timelines are MATHEMATICALLY IMPOSSIBLE. The 43/37% weights added 4 million votes to the Bush total, and subtract the same from Kerry.

    That means the Final Exit Poll is completely bogus – and since the Final NEP was matched to the recorded vote, then the RECORDED VOTE must also be bogus.

    Proof: 43% of 122.3mm is 52.57mm, but Bush got only 50.5mm votes in 2000, of whom 1.75mm died prior to the 2004 election. So at most, only 48.7mm Bush 2000 voters were alive to vote in 2004 (39.8% of 122.3).

    The Kerry vote/margin SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS is based on the 12:22am (13047 respondents) timeline assuming
    1) 100% Bush voter turnout;
    2) 71-100% Gore voter turnout;
    3) 51-60% Kerry vote share of 2004 voters who did not vote (DNV) in 2000.

    Timeline Sample Bush/Gore Winner
    12:22am 13047 (41%/39%): Kerry 51-48%
    1:25pm 13660 (43%/37%): Bush 51-48%

    In 2000:
    Bush had 50.46mm votes, 41.30% of the 2004 total.
    Gore had 51.0mm votes (41.75%).
    Nader had 2.88 mm votes (2.36%).
    The annual U.S. death rate is 0.87%, or 3.5% over four years.

    Now let’s calculate revised, plausible MAXIMUM weightings, subtracting the number of 2000 voters who died prior to 2004.


    Max weight
    Votes Pct 2004 Died Alive Pct 2004
    Gore 51.00 41.75% 1.79 49.22 40.28%
    Bush 50.46 41.30% 1.77 48.69 39.85%
    Nader 2.88 2.36% 0.10 2.78 2.28%

    Using the maximum weights and assuming that ALL 2000 voters turned out in 2004, Kerry is the clear winner in BOTH timelines.

    VOTED IN 2000

    12:22am 1:25pm
    Voted Weight Votes Kerry Bush Nader Kerry Bush Nader

    No 17.58% 21.48 57% 41% 2% 54.% 45% 1%
    Gore 40.28% 49.22 91% 8% 1% 90% 10% 0%
    Bush 39.85% 48.69 10% 90% 0% 9% 91% 0%
    Other 2.28% 2.79 71% 21% 8% 71% 21% 8%

    Total 100% 52.28% 46.78% 0.94% 50.96% 48.69% 0.36%
    Vote 122.17 63.88 57.15 1.14 62.25 59.48 0.44
    Kerry margin: 6.73mm Kerry margin: 2.77mm

    For the sensitivity analysis, we assume
    a) 12:22am NEP timeline
    b) 100% Bush 2000 voter turnout
    c) Declining Gore voter turnout (from 100% to 71%).

    The analysis shows that even with a LARGE Bush 2000 voter turnout advantage, there is not ONE PLAUSIBLE Bush victory SCENARIO.

    At the 12:22am timeline:
    Kerry won 57% of those who DID NOT VOTE (DNV) in 2000.

    For Kerry to TIE Bush, he needed a MINIMUM 80% Gore voter turnout. Very plausible.

    For Bush to WIN by 3 mm votes, he needed a MAXIMUM 71% Gore voter turnout. Not plausible.

    At the 1:25pm Final timeline:
    Kerry won 54% of those who DID NOT VOTE in 2000

    For Kerry to TIE Bush, he needed a MINIMUM 85% Gore voter turnout. Very plausible.

    For Bush to WIN by 3 mm votes, he needed a MAXIMUM 77% Gore voter turnout. Not plausible.

    View the sensivity analysis here:
    http://www.progressiveindepende...;topic_id=1445

  6. 8)
    JuliePatchouli said on 9/21/2006 @ 4:11pm PT: [Permalink]

    Clara – I’m thinking that parallel elections systems will do the trick without lowering ourselves to “their” level. Visit http://www.votenow2006.com .

    Clint Curtis is trying to bust into the news. I think Feeney’s goose is cooked. These are VERY exciting times!

    Help US FUNdraise! $5, $10, $25. “Kick in” to restoring democracy instead of “giving them what they want.”

    http://www.clintcurtis.com
    Go Clint! He’s my hero!

  7. 9)
    TruthIsAll said on 9/21/2006 @ 4:18pm PT: [Permalink]

    The Electoral vote is the one that matters, but the fact is that an unpopular president had to overcome massive democratic registration through disenfranchisement, spoiled votes AND vote switching in order to get his 3 million “mandate”.

    One needs to take into account the Final Exit Poll, in which 43% of 2004 voters claimed they voted for Bush in 2000 and just 37% for Gore. But 43% of 122.3mm is 52.57mm, and Bush only got 50.46mm votes in 2000. Since about 1.7mm of them died, this means that the Final inflated Bush’s vote by over 4mm and reduced Kerry’s vote by 4mm. Since Bush won the recorded vote by 62-59mm, the 4 million phantom votes suggests that Kerry actually won by 63-58mm (not including “spoiled” or lost votes which were never counted. See below.) Do you have another explanation?

    In addition, the pre-election polls matched the exit polls, when the pre-election polls are adjusted for the allocation of a solid majority of the undecided vote to Kerry. Pre-election state and national polls matched the exit polls to within 0.5%. Since they matched, what does this tell us about exit poll nonresponse bias?

    Democratic new voter turnout was so strong that Bush needed more then the usual kickstart that Republicans get from old-fashioned voter disenfranchisement, spoiled votes and long lines in democratic voting precincts. To get his mandate, Bushco had NO choice; they needed electronic switching of Kerry votes to Bush votes in the voting machines or central tabulators. It has been proven time and again (most recently at Princeton) that the machines could easily have been hacked. And if they needed to do it, what would stop them? If a vote for Kerry was counted for Bush, would that not show up in the exit poll? And if there was massive fraud, where else would it show up other than the exit polls? Vote switching without a paper ballot cannot be proved.

    But we know from the EIRS database that of about 88 vote switching incidents, 86 were Kerry to Bush. Not ONE vote should have switched. These were not programming or computer “glitches”. Machines don’t make mistakes unless they are programmed to. The programmers made sure that Bush got the vast majority of the switched votes. Of course, they worked for the Republican controlled voting machine companies. It is totally naive for anyone to believe that the 3 million electronic votes which Bush needed to obtain his 3mm “mandate” (in addition to Kerry votes lost to “spoilage”) would NOT have been switched.
    Means, Motive, Opportunity.

    If we are to believe the Census, 125.7mm votes were cast, a significant discrepancy from the 122.3mm recorded vote. Let’s assume the 3.4mm difference is due to “spoiled” or lost votes. Since over 75% of spoiled votes are primarily in minority districts, we can esitimate that Kerry lost 2.5mm and Bush 0.9mm votes. Then 3mm switched votes from Kerry to Bush would account for the 12:22am National Exit Poll result (Kerry won by 51-48%).

    Start with the recorded vote:
    Bush: 62mm
    Kerry: 59mm

    Add the spoiled votes which were never counted:
    Bush = 62.9 = 62+0.9
    Kerry = 61.5 = 59+2.5

    Now return the 3mm votes switched from Kerry to Bush to get the true vote:
    Kerry = 64.5 = 61.5 + 3.0 = 51.3%
    Bush = 59.9 = 62.9 – 3.0 = 47.6%

    THE NATIONAL EXIT POLL
    HOW VOTED IN 2000 DEMOGRAPHIC

    Assuming MAXIMUM FEASIBLE National Exit Poll “How Voted in 2000” weightings and 100% Bush/Gore 2000 voter turnout in 2004, Kerry is the clear winner in BOTH timelines.

    We first prove that the NEP “How Voted in 2000” weights for both the 12:22am (41/39%) and 1:25 pm (43/37%) timelines are MATHEMATICALLY IMPOSSIBLE. The 43/37% weights added 4 million votes to the Bush total, and subtract the same from Kerry.

    That means the Final Exit Poll is completely bogus – and since the Final NEP was matched to the recorded vote, then the RECORDED VOTE must also be bogus.

    Proof: 43% of 122.3mm is 52.57mm, but Bush got only 50.5mm votes in 2000, of whom 1.75mm died prior to the 2004 election. So at most, only 48.7mm Bush 2000 voters were alive to vote in 2004 (39.8% of 122.3).

    The Kerry vote/margin SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS is based on the 12:22am (13047 respondents) timeline assuming
    1) 100% Bush voter turnout;
    2) 71-100% Gore voter turnout;
    3) 51-60% Kerry vote share of 2004 voters who did not vote (DNV) in 2000.

    Timeline Sample Bush/Gore Winner
    12:22am 13047 (41%/39%): Kerry 51-48%
    1:25pm 13660 (43%/37%): Bush 51-48%

    In 2000:
    Bush had 50.46mm votes, 41.30% of the 2004 total.
    Gore had 51.0mm votes (41.75%).
    Nader had 2.88 mm votes (2.36%).
    The annual U.S. death rate is 0.87%, or 3.5% over four years.

    Now let’s calculate revised, plausible MAXIMUM weightings, subtracting the number of 2000 voters who died prior to 2004.


    Max weight
    Votes Pct 2004 Died Alive Pct 2004
    Gore 51.00 41.75% 1.79 49.22 40.28%
    Bush 50.46 41.30% 1.77 48.69 39.85%
    Nader 2.88 2.36% 0.10 2.78 2.28%

    Using the maximum weights and assuming that ALL 2000 voters turned out in 2004, Kerry is the clear winner in BOTH timelines.

    VOTED IN 2000

    12:22am 1:25pm
    Voted Weight Votes Kerry Bush Nader Kerry Bush Nader

    No 17.58% 21.48 57% 41% 2% 54.% 45% 1%
    Gore 40.28% 49.22 91% 8% 1% 90% 10% 0%
    Bush 39.85% 48.69 10% 90% 0% 9% 91% 0%
    Other 2.28% 2.79 71% 21% 8% 71% 21% 8%

    Total 100% 52.28% 46.78% 0.94% 50.96% 48.69% 0.36%
    Vote 122.17 63.88 57.15 1.14 62.25 59.48 0.44
    Kerry margin: 6.73mm Kerry margin: 2.77mm

    For the sensitivity analysis, we assume
    a) 12:22am NEP timeline
    b) 100% Bush 2000 voter turnout
    c) Declining Gore voter turnout (from 100% to 71%).

    The analysis shows that even with a LARGE Bush 2000 voter turnout advantage, there is not ONE PLAUSIBLE Bush victory SCENARIO.

    At the 12:22am timeline:
    Kerry won 57% of those who DID NOT VOTE (DNV) in 2000.

    For Kerry to TIE Bush, he needed a MINIMUM 80% Gore voter turnout. Very plausible.

    For Bush to WIN by 3 mm votes, he needed a MAXIMUM 71% Gore voter turnout. Not plausible.

    At the 1:25pm Final timeline:
    Kerry won 54% of those who DID NOT VOTE in 2000

    For Kerry to TIE Bush, he needed a MINIMUM 85% Gore voter turnout. Very plausible.

    For Bush to WIN by 3 mm votes, he needed a MAXIMUM 77% Gore voter turnout. Not plausible.

    View the sensitivity analysis here:
    http://www.progressiveindepende...;topic_id=1445

  8. 10)
    ruskinroaddoc said on 9/21/2006 @ 4:36pm PT: [Permalink]

    What happened to the RFK, Jr. lawsuit that’s been stashed for 60 days? Any news of that yet?

  9. 11)
    Ram said on 9/21/2006 @ 4:46pm PT: [Permalink]

    Brad:

    Thanks for being soooo on top of things with this issue. There’s a “recommended” diary on DKos about this, so I KNEW I would find it here.

    It has only been up for 4 hours and generated 330 comments. The RFK initials take it from “tinfoil” to “mainstream”.

    Thanks for your relentless pursuit of the truth, Brad, and the rest of the heroes here at Bradblog!

  10. 12)
    Ram said on 9/21/2006 @ 4:51pm PT: [Permalink]

    Lara #2:

    Is this why Bush is pushing so hard to be allowed to use torture? Is he going to turn this machine on us when we protest the results of this year’s sure-to-be-stolen elections?

    Creepy stuff.

  11. 13)
    John Dean said on 9/21/2006 @ 5:44pm PT: [Permalink]

    Brad and Bev just keep on hitting balls outta of the park with their heroic efforts to turn the tide…and it is turning now, but not on all fronts yet.

    Earlier today, longtime Kossack TorqueDeville stated “As I’ve argued before, the only indicator we have for detecting vote fraud by computer is polling.”

    In my lifetime, the exit polls were always accurate…I cannot remember a single instance in an important election between 1976 and 1998 where ABC, NBC, CBS, or some other outfit, called an election for someone, and then had to turn around and “uncall” it.

    Then along came 2000…we all know what happened, 2002 with the Georgia mess, and 2004, and suddenly we’re supposed to believe that exit polls are not to be trusted, or suddenly we’re supposed to believe that exit polls have to be adjusted after-the-fact to reflect actual results!

    Pathetic!

  12. 14)
    Laura said on 9/21/2006 @ 5:51pm PT: [Permalink]

    Ram Agreed, I’ve been reading about these weapons for over a year. I’m glad thse articles are starting to be published on bigger blogs instead of just the fringe websites so more people can see them. If this doesn’t make you nauseous and rethink all the power the Executive branch and the military industrial corporate complex have nothing will. People better start waking up YESTERDAY!

  13. 16)
    DIXIECRAT said on 9/21/2006 @ 5:57pm PT: [Permalink]

    HEY TRUTHISALL, shut the hell up and volunteer to work at your local polling precinct or better yet, with all that time you have to type, try running for supervisor of elections or contact everyone you know to register and vote (absentee).

  14. 17)
    Grizzly Bear Dancer said on 9/21/2006 @ 7:06pm PT: [Permalink]

    Thank you Bradblog, RFK jr. and R.S. for cataloging the Bushit administration and co. theft of “OUR” as in WE THE PEOPLES'” DEMOCRACY in crisis. Not to mention, you got to think about people in other countries, countries our Bushit terrorist leaders lied us into war with, and future countries the U.S. plans to do an aggressive pre-emptive attack.

    I’m sure they think the stereotypical clueless American could care less about anyone or anything else because the oil barrons in charge have dropped the price of gas and now everything is hunky dory in the land of renewed innocence & apple pie.

    While there is some truth as to this type of moron who choses to wear the bushit blinders, citizens of the world can get on their computer, go to http://www.bradblog.com and see that there are people in this country using the power of the pen and the world wide web to hold these fcks accountable and voice our outrage for trashing our right to vote and hold verifiable elections. They can open the Rolling Stone magazine and see that at least over a year strong, this magazine has become the leading U.S. publication documenting the criminal acts of these greedy destructors of the world. They tell the stories the government controlled mass media refuses to tell.

    Comment #2: Still waiting for the impeachment and court marshall cases of Bush, Cheney, Gonzalez, Rice, Rove and all the other lying criminal rusters (including the complicent dems), i would be willing to let them go on bail to go hideout with their friend Bin Laden in a Hindu cave in Afganistan granted we could use their new microwave tazer toy on them. Round these bastards up and let it rip!

    Gonzalez Torture..naw they would be providing a means for useful testing of an alternative interagation device. Not ALL AMERICANS think 911 was about 19 arabs armed with boxcutters perfecting their cesna flying skills to drive commercial jet aircraft into steel concrete buildings without any help from these fine individuals running the sh*t.

  15. 18)
    Ram said on 9/21/2006 @ 10:58pm PT: [Permalink]

    Dixiecrat #16: I think your response to Truthisall is rude. There are many ways to protect our democracy. Gathering statistical evidence and sharing it on the internet is one of those ways.

    Thank you, Truthisall, for the data and your efforts.

  16. 19)
    CarolB said on 9/21/2006 @ 11:20pm PT: [Permalink]

    AARRRGGGHHHH! Even RFK Jr. doesn’t get it! The machines in New Mexico this article is quick to praise are optiscans! Anyone who has read about the Harri Hursti hack knows that the memory cards in the optiscan machines are just as easily hacked–invisibly and without leaving a trace. When is everyone going to get it that a “paper TRAIL” is NOT the answer! Even a paper BALLOT (such as optiscans use) isn’t the answer unless those ballots are hand counted! The problem with ALL these machines is that they ALL use electronic vote tabulation that is controlled by secret software and resident on memory cards that someone can program or swap out without a trace!

  17. 20)
    CarolB said on 9/21/2006 @ 11:26pm PT: [Permalink]

    Hasn’t everyone seen the videos? Don’t you see they involve vote-swapping programs being placed on the memory cards? Programs that no one knows is there except for the (e-voting company) tech that put them there or someone who (easily) gained access and swapped out the memory card for another with their own “vote swapping” program. Programs that are not only “hidden” on the cards but that are programmed to erase themselves after they have performed their “routines”! These memory cards are NOT ONLY on the touch-screen/DRE e-voting machines! They are on the optiscan ballot e-voting machines too!!! What we need is a national “no confidence” STRIKE against these machines and a demand for hand-counted paper ballots!

  18. 21)
    Keitn in Bklyn said on 9/22/2006 @ 5:17am PT: [Permalink]

    I’ve got to agree with Clara. Look, we know that the repugs are going to lie and steal their way into maintaining power, so let’s turn the tide and beat them at their own game. Yes, I’d like to take the high road, but there is simply too much at stake here. When faced with deceit, sometimes it is necessary to use their own methods against them.
    Let’s distribute that code!

  19. 23)
    Grizzly Bear Dancer said on 9/22/2006 @ 9:23am PT: [Permalink]

    Slightly O.T.
    RFK jr. is a lawyer for the National Resources Defense Council (NRDC) a non-profit environmental organization. Yesterday a judge upheld the Bush administration reversal of the Roadless Rule law that was reversed in 2001 as being unconstitutional. This law protects over 50 million acres of public wild lands back into the hands of the American people as opposed to quick sales to Bush’s crony developers.

    This is a huge step in the right direction. Now we need judges across the land to rule against the other 200 plus laws the Bushit administration reversed and we well be back where we were when President Clinton left office. GREEDY CRIMINAL BASTARDS.

  20. 24)
    Grizzly Bear Dancer said on 9/22/2006 @ 9:26am PT: [Permalink]

    #23 clarification: 200 ENVIRONMENTAL LAWS THAT HAVE BEEN REVERSED UNDER THE LEADERSHIP OF THE BUSHIT ADMINISTRATION.

  21. 25)
    JuliePatchouli said on 9/22/2006 @ 9:48am PT: [Permalink]

    Clara and Brooklyn –
    The reason we have to take the high ground is because if we do NOT, the repubs will say that we stole it, and we don’t want to give them ammunition or cause to throw our own complaints back at us.

    Parallel elections (polling, basically), and paper ballots (non-scanable) is the answer.

    We are better than these crooks and complacent observers. We have to strengthen Whistleblower laws (Sarbanes-Oxley) so that the truth is upheld and supported.

    Without the truth, it is all crap.

    Without verifiable election, it is no democracy.

  22. 26)
    Floridiot said on 9/22/2006 @ 4:01pm PT: [Permalink]

    … JuliePatchouli said on 9/22/2006 @ 9:48 am PT…
    Yours is true, but I think its all the money they have to throw at their campaigns, you know, all the tax cut money ?
    thats where they’re getting it all from

  23. 27)
    Larry Bergan said on 9/23/2006 @ 1:54am PT: [Permalink]

    Good to see the 16,000 vote problem with the machine in the 2000 election mentioned. Brad Blog as well!

    I makes me mad when I tell someone about the 275,000 dollars Abramoff got paid by Diebold and they ask me where I read it. I tell them I read it the only place you can go to get the truth, a music magazine, Rolling Stone Magazine! They usually seem to think that casts an aspersion. I told that to the top clerk in Utah and she didn’t respond to it.

    Got to go. Have to go watch the news of the day, on the comedy channel, of course. Thank God for the Daily Show and the Colbert Report! That segment they did this week with Robert Douchebag Novak was PRICELESS!

  24. 28)
    Larry Bergan said on 9/25/2006 @ 10:15pm PT: [Permalink]

    Could Chris Mathews be starting to cover the voting machine issue. I just heard that RFK JR. is going to be on his show this week!

  25. 29)
    shawn said on 10/17/2006 @ 7:59pm PT: [Permalink]

    Has anyone pointed out that the Dibold machines are made in Ohio too!??!? Where the the last presidential election was stolen?

(Comments are now closed.)


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