Iowa Finally Has Definitive Winner: The Voters

UPDATE: By all measures, Santorum has been found to have received the most votes...

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Even the GOP establishment — which had long decided that Mitt Romney was their best hope to win back the White House in 2012 among those currently running — could not overcome the intent of the voters as transparently expressed on publicly hand-counted, hand-marked paper ballots.

At the end of a January 3rd’s Caucus Night in Iowa, our headline, written initially when Rick Santorum was momentarily up over Romney by just 4 votes, was “Santorum ‘Wins’ Iowa, Everyone Else Doesn’t”. An hour or so after we’d called it a night, the Iowa GOP stepped forward to declare Romney, not Santorum, had actually “won” by a slim 8 votes out of some 122,000 cast.

Finally today, the GOP has been forced to admit that Santorum was indeed the winner. Though our headline three Tuesday’s ago was just slightly more accurate than the GOP’s declaration for Romney that night. In truth, there was another winner in Iowa: The Voters.

It took just over two weeks for the GOP to admit it, but the party’s final reported results from the hand-marked paper ballots cast on January 3rd, hand-counted in front of the public on Election Night (cast by voters who were not turned away for lack of a state-issued Photo ID) are there to tell the tail of who really won the all-important “First-in-the-Nation” Iowa Caucuses. The GOP couldn’t have successfully lied about it if they’d wanted to. Oh, they could have tried. In fact, they did as Iowa’s GOP chair Matthew Strawn announced just after 1p ET “Congratulations to Governor Mitt Romney, winner of the 2012 Iowa Caucuses.” And the corporate media would have gone along with them — and, in fact, they did, ever since the GOP’s attempted lie on Election Night — but the truth would have always been there for the public to see nonetheless.

Nobody ever had to rest their faith on a single source, like a political party or a candidate or a voting machine company — though the media was all too happy to do so before moving on to New Hampshire. There was always a transparent, overseeable, system of checks and balances — just as our Constitution envisions for the nation’s governance as a whole — there to assure that self-governance had a fighting chance to be more than a bumper sticker slogan hauled out when convenient, ignored when not.

Because the Iowa GOP allowed the people to oversee the counting of their own election, right then and there at the caucus sites, before ballots were moved anywhere, it was next to impossible for them to successfully game the system — just as Edward True had proven two nights after the Jan 3rd Caucuses.

And speaking of Edward True, the Republican Party of Iowa owes this man, this patriot, this Ron Paul supporter a huge apology…

After True stepped forward to point out that the Iowa GOP had a reporting error (not a counting error, but a reporting error) on the tally list they had by then posted on their website, a cowardly, unnamed party spokeswoman slimed him publicly in the media.

“True is not a precinct captain and he’s not a county chairperson so he has no business talking about election results,” the unnamed spokeswoman reportedly told Des Moines’ KCCI NewsChannel 8.

Chairman Strawn soon went on record to further slime Mr. True, suggesting his photographic evidence — which was soon confirmed as accurate by the GOP’s Appanoose County Chair and others who were actually there to oversee the public counting at the caucus that night — amounted to little more than “rumor” and “innuendo”.

In truth, the only “rumor” and “innuendo” came from Strawn and the Iowa GOP establishment themselves when, in the early morning hours of January 4th, he proudly declared Romney as the “winner of the 2012 Iowa Caucuses.”

Have we mentioned that the Iowa GOP owes Mr. True a huge apology?

The party’s final “certified” totals put Rick Santorum atop the pack by 34 votes, though they say they were unable to certify results from 8 of the 1,774 precincts which held caucuses that night. With the contemporaneously reported — if not party “certified” — results from those 8 precincts included with the “certified” numbers, Santorum still wins the contest.

Either way you slice it — barring any other witnesses to the actual counting on caucus night coming forward to prove otherwise, something they’d not be able to do were it not for the transparent public counting of hand-marked paper ballots — Santorum won Iowa.

Because we know that. Because there is no way for the GOP to deny that, their initial denial this morning — reporting it not as a win but as a “split decision” — didn’t hold for long.

Within an hour or so after that “split decision” announcement, and after Romney tried to call it a “virtual tie”, the party was was forced to concede that Santorum won, and shortly thereafter even Romney called the former Pennsylvania Senator to congratulate him and “concede victory”.

No matter what the party might have wanted, the voters actually won here, by having their voice heard, even in the closest of close races, even where the party which ran the election might have liked a different outcome — and even tried, unsuccessfully, to fudge one.

And, one last point to mention. As impossibly close as the results ultimately were, there has not been a single peep, to our knowledge, of anyone claiming “voter fraud” anywhere in the Hawkeye State. That, even as the Iowa GOP ignored their own insistence that the only way to avoid “voter fraud” in elections elsewhere (and even in Iowa) is to require polling place Photo ID restrictions for all voters before they are allowed to vote.

When Iowa Republicans had the chance to set any rules they wanted for their own election — in Iowa, the GOP sets the caucus rules, not the state — they allowed all voters to vote without restriction, even those voters who chose to both register and vote on the very same day.

That’s what democracy looks like, even despite the Iowa Republican Party’s attempts to undermine their own transparent model used in the Iowa GOP Caucuses, as based on Democracy’s Gold Standard.

Congratulations Mr. Santorum. But, more so, congratulations Republican voters of Iowa. Hope you’ll fight in the future to ensure all Americans get to vote and count as transparently as you did on January 3rd, 2012.

* * *

UPDATE 1/21/12: Finding the need to clarify some confusion out there — and underscoring again what The BRAD BLOG has been reporting for some time — Iowa GOP officials issued a one sentence statement late last night, 18-minutes before midnight, on the eve of today’s South Carolina GOP Primary, declaring Rick Santorum of the 2012 Iowa Caucuses:

In order to clarify conflicting reports and to affirm the results released January 18 by the Republican Party of Iowa, Chairman Matthew Strawn and the State Central Committee declared Senator Rick Santorum the winner of the 2012 Iowa Caucus.

We’ve seen a number of misreports out there suggesting that the votes from 8 precincts were lost. That is untrue. What was missing at the time of the GOP’s previous announcement were the hard copy “Form E” documents from eight precincts which are the official certification of the election night results — results which had already been given to the GOP on election night.

Without those 8 precincts included, Santorum was found to have won the race by 34 votes. With the Election Night totals included in the results, Santorum is found to have won by 69 votes, as AP notes today:

Unofficial election night results from the eight missing precincts gave Santorum 81 votes and Romney 46. If those results had been certified to state party officials by Wednesday’s deadline, Santorum’s lead in the final tally would have been 69 votes.

Des Moines Register has more on those precincts and what may have happened to the Form Es. But the point is, the Election Night results are now certified and published and if there are any concerns about any of them, citizens who were there that night, who were allowed, with their own eyes, to see the votes being tallied — many of whom took photos of the actual tally sheets at the caucus site — may come forward to point out any discrepancies. So far, to our knowledge, none have done so.

If they do, that’s great. Nobody will have to take any single source’s word for anything, as thousands of eyeballs oversaw the entire process. That is a system that works and — short of the state GOP’s dumb (paranoia based) secretive “certification” process over the past two weeks — exactly what the entire nation needs in order to restore confidence in its election tabulation system.

* * *

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Reader Comments on

Iowa Finally Has Definitive Winner: The Voters

16 Comments

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16 Responses

  1. 1)
    Dredd said on 1/20/2012 @ 6:00am PT: [Permalink]

    Machines aren’t the only incompetent vote counters it would seem.

    Incorrect results are incorrect results, whether made by machine or not.

    They need better training and better processes in Iowa too.

    It was a false result that was not reversed in time to alleviate damage to one candidate and false victory to another.

    That is not professional IMO.

  2. 2)
    CambridgeKnitter said on 1/20/2012 @ 7:22am PT: [Permalink]

    I don’t agree. We are human. Mistakes happen. The issue is whether mistakes can be discovered and whether they get corrected. That’s what happened here.

    That’s also what NPR completely failed to understand in a shoddy report this morning, which struck me as an unpaid commercial for electronic voting machines. You can listen to it at 8 precinct vote totals missing from Iowa caucuses. There’s a somewhat better blog entry at http://tinyurl.com/7ssgzh2, which has the added attraction of comments.

  3. 3)
    Stewart Wechsler said on 1/20/2012 @ 8:55am PT: [Permalink]

    I think this whole idea of declaring a “winner” in a primary where the delegates are distributed proportionally, is a farce. There is no “victory” until someone gets the nomination. I would argue that a result with 2 candaditas separated by less than 1% of the vote should be declared a “statistical tie”.

  4. Avatar photo
    5)
    Brad Friedman said on 1/20/2012 @ 4:39pm PT: [Permalink]

    TomR said @4:

    It’s too bad about those eight missing precincts

    They’re not “missing” at all. The public election night count is available for them, as it was on election night. Only thing missing is the paper “Form ‘E'” from each one which is supposed to be turned in by the county within two weeks after the caucus to “certify” the reported results.

    However, even if the numbers from those eight precincts are added in to the certified totals, Santorum still wins, as noted in the article above.

  5. Avatar photo
    6)
    Brad Friedman said on 1/20/2012 @ 4:42pm PT: [Permalink]

    Stewart Wechsler @ XX said:

    I would argue that a result with 2 candaditas separated by less than 1% of the vote should be declared a “statistical tie”.

    Why? Shouldn’t the candidate with the most verifiable votes counted be declared the winner? Is there a new rule in elections that now you have to win by more than 1% or some such nonsense?

  6. 7)
    ghostof911 said on 1/20/2012 @ 6:28pm PT: [Permalink]

    Ricky Santorum ought to be the leading supporter of Democracy’s Gold Standard.

    Maybe Brad can cop an interview with Ricky about this issue.

  7. 8)
    Larry Bergan said on 1/20/2012 @ 10:49pm PT: [Permalink]

    Only one way to describe this unless the national and Utah media get some integrity:

    Old news. 🙁

    This definitely proves that hand-marked, hand counted ballots work and that’s a BIG story in a time when we have been wasting billions on hackable voting machines.

  8. 9)
    Dredd said on 1/21/2012 @ 4:47am PT: [Permalink]

    Brad pointed out:

    However, even if the numbers from those eight precincts are added in to the certified totals, Santorum still wins, as noted in the article above.

    Shall we do the Ground Hog Day dance and say they have the results correct now?

    If so, this means that, in elections, if hand counted paper ballots are used, then counted in public, we still have a problem Houston.

    Holy grail mentality sets an ideology on a pedestal then bends, molds, and conforms “the facts” to that ideology no matter what our lying eyes and ears tell us.

    The only holy grail in electioneering, it would seem, happens to be honesty and competence, not technique.

    This was demonstrated long ago by a Communist election engineer, as we all know:

    Voters decide nothing, those who count the votes decide everything.

    (Stalin, paraphrased). We have witnessed this to be true over and over again, since “those who count the votes” ends up being those who have “the say.”

    It is just as true to say that if machines could not be hacked, and were programmed honestly, those machines would count as accurately as an honest person counting paper ballots for an honest election official who had no agenda.

    The problem is that both scenarios are fictional, so any ideology that turns either one into the holy grail is likewise fictional.

    Which also means the better exercise has always been to fix the broken system with honesty and competence, the rarest of election matériel.

  9. Avatar photo
    10)
    Brad Friedman said on 1/21/2012 @ 12:56pm PT: [Permalink]

    Dredd sedd @ 9:

    Holy grail mentality sets an ideology on a pedestal then bends, molds, and conforms “the facts” to that ideology no matter what our lying eyes and ears tell us.

    The only holy grail in electioneering, it would seem, happens to be honesty and competence, not technique.

    It’s disappointing that after all these years here, Dredd, you still don’t seem to get it.

    Your “holy grail” of “honesty and competence” of, presumably, election officials will never be. Worse, even if you might someday find your “holy grail” where election officials are 100% honest and competent, it does little good unless the citizenry know those officials are 100% honest and competent.

    How does any of that occur? By assuring that the citizenry themselves can oversee every aspect of the tabulation, as in Iowa, where the reporting (not counting) errors are a tribute to the system, as opposed to an indictment of it. It’s remarkable that you still don’t seem to understand that, as many years as you have been here.

    the better exercise has always been to fix the broken system with honesty and competence, the rarest of election matériel.

    And, again, I’ll ask: No matter how “honest” or “competent”, how are the voters to know that’s the case, unless they can see so themselves with their very own eyeballs?

    That worked in Iowa. But you are more than welcome to keep searching for your holy grail, even if, once found (and it can never be), you’ll find nothing holy about it.

  10. 11)
    Douglas Ou-ee-ii-jay-ii Jack said on 1/21/2012 @ 3:28pm PT: [Permalink]

    Brad, As a society hoping to become democratic we can learn from humanity’s universal Economic Democracy heritage. Under the present perverted system, No one is openly in charge, only the puppeteers. The USA & Canada are frauds from the beginning as genocidal colonies first against aboriginal peoples here and then against the world. More should be aware that; we vote everytime we spend a dollar. First Nations here and ‘indigenous’ (Latin = ‘self-generating’) peoples worldwide were structured upon progressive ownership in the Economic Democracy of their diverse specialized Production Societies and Extended housing. Individual economic empowerment, economies of scale in multihome housing and communities exercising a critical ‘power of the people’ (Greek meaning of ‘democracy’) right from the ‘tree-roots’ indigenous communities worldwide made for a sustainable democracy. https://sites.google.com/site/i...omic-democracy

  11. 12)
    Larry Bergan said on 1/21/2012 @ 9:18pm PT: [Permalink]

    Dredd’s message seems to be: give up.

    We have a dude over on OneUtah who has had dozens of names and sometimes even shows up on the same thread with two and sometimes three names. The message never changes: give up.

    Dredd: give up.

    Hand marked, hand counted ballots work and Iowa proved it.

  12. 15)
    Ben said on 1/22/2012 @ 10:29pm PT: [Permalink]

    So the voters won huh? Tell that to the 8 districts whose voices will never officially be heard. I think we should start a petition to recall the votes in Iowa all together. No recount, but a re-vote. It’s only the United States Presidential election at stake so I guess it can slide. Right? Those 8 precincts don’t REALLY matter do they? As long as it doesn’t happen to you then it can be over looked. This is not the country that I studied about in text books. What all those incredible patriots died for is slipping away people. It’s time for a peaceful, but forceful revolution. We can do better than Iran. WE the people can WIN. The voters did not win ANYTHING. I don’t care who you vote for. It’s the act of meaningful voting that matters. Otherwise we are in an oligarchy. This is treason and we deserve what we get if no one will stand with me and let not those warriors die in vain.

  13. Avatar photo
    16)
    Brad Friedman said on 1/23/2012 @ 3:09pm PT: [Permalink]

    Ben hyperventilated @ 15 –

    So the voters won huh? Tell that to the 8 districts whose voices will never officially be heard. I think we should start a petition to recall the votes in Iowa all together. No recount, but a re-vote.

    Why? Why should the entire state be disenfranchised because several GOP county chairpersons forgot to send their Form E’s to certify what had been counted publicly in their precincts on Election Night?

    We can not only discern the intent of the voters in those 8 precincts, but we can also verify that the results are correct (or incorrect, if that’s the case) since there were others there witnesses the counting and recording what was tallied on Election Night.

    As I note in the article above, and in it’s UPDATE, with or without the votes from those 8 precincts, Santorum is the winner. So what’s your beef, exactly?

    It’s only the United States Presidential election at stake so I guess it can slide. Right? Those 8 precincts don’t REALLY matter do they?

    Well, they don’t “matter” as to who won or lost. But yes, every vote matters (or should) and the intent of every single voter in Iowa’s caucuses can be accounted for. So, again, what’s your beef?

    This is treason and we deserve what we get if no one will stand with me and let not those warriors die in vain.

    I will join you in the fight for every legal voter who wishes to vote being allowed to vote. I will join you in the fight to make sure those votes are counted, counted accurately, and counted transparently so that we know they’ve been counted and counted accurately.

    As to the “treason” you bloviate about here, sorry, I’m failing to see anything like it. You may wish to educate yourself about the real problems of electoral integrity before firing your first (or, I guess now, second) shot.

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