By Brad Friedman on 3/2/2012, 11:52am PT  

I can't tell you how bored I am with the current, endless, ridiculous, if occasionally hilarious, GOP nomination process. Oops, I just did.

So with that, I'll note here that I've been predicting for months --- long before anybody seemed to be mentioning it (as I now hear it more and more each day), and when I was even ridiculed for the suggestion --- that there was a better than 50% chance we'd see a brokered GOP convention in Tampa this August. I have long been further suggesting that there was also a better than 50% chance that the ultimate nominee would be someone other than the 10 or so lead candidates running at the time of my original prediction.

I see no reason to modify any of those fairly conservative and, I think, pretty reasonable, predictions now. But let's see what you guys think. We can look back at your thoughts once the convention rolls around...

WHAT WILL OCCUR AT THE 2012 GOP CONVENTION?
  • One of the four currently leading candidates in the race will win the nomination. No brokered convention.
  • There will be a brokered convention that will result in one of the four leading candidates currently in the race winning the nomination.
  • There will be a brokered convention that will result in someone other than the four leading candidates currently in the race winning the nomination.
Total Votes: 432 Started: February 29, 2012 Back to Vote Screen