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Here we go again...
By Brad Friedman on 11/2/2004 5:22pm PT  

LATEST...
· 12:31am PT: AMERICABlog: "ABC News just reported at 3 in the morning that people are still lined up and voting in at least TWO precincts in Ohio --- including predominantly college students at one polling area."
· 12:15am PT: None of the nets have called NV, but Yahoo has a few mins ago. For Bush. First time they've called one before the nets.
· AMERICABlog: Witnesses/Photos in OH, "the truck the ballots for 40 precincts were loaded into - had a big Bush-Cheney 2004 sticker in the back window". Follow link for photo and details.
· Oliver Willis: Early OH website count showed big irregularities. Why? Graphics at his site.
· Even if NV, NM, and IA all go to Bush, Kerry wins if he takes OH, 272 - 266!
· SALON: Thousands turned away without provisional ballots in OHIO
· 11:39pm PT: Current Electoral: BUSH 249 - Kerry 242
· 11:35pm PT: Pat Buchanan on MSNBC, "If every state leaning Bush goes Bush, and every state leaning Kerry goes Kerry, Bush DOES NOT WIN without OHIO"!
· 11:28pm PT: Edwards statement/appearance "We can wait one more night. We will fight for every vote!"
· 11:20pm PT: Bush team talking "acceptance speech". 2000-style GOP PsyOps in full play!
· Only 50% of Las Vegas counted. 5,000 vote diff. Raw Nevada Data
· 10:59pm PT: Counting machines broken down in IA. No final count can be made until Wed! - CNN
· 10:58pm PT: CNN - "As many as 600,000 uncounted votes still out".
· 10:52pm PT: CNN calls OH "Too Close to Call" - Apparently won't be calling it tonight.
· 2000 DEJA VU: FOX calls it for Bush before anyone else, Drudge gives Presidency to Bush. Meantime, OH vote still out. Even without OH for Kerry, a 269-269 tie possible. Not necessarily probable, but possible. Kerry statement: "It takes 270 win".
· 10:22pm PT - OH: 86.69% precincts counted. 124,449 adv. Bush and getting smaller. CNN reports 150,000-200,000 provisional ballots uncounted.
· NBC and MSNBC call OH for Bush at 12:50am.
· FOX and FNC (only ones) call OH for BUSH! 15 minutes before polls close there! MMFA Reports: FNC calls at 12:41am ET; FOX calls at 12:44am ET - People still voting until 1am in OH!
· Do the math yourself right here.
· Raw State Website Results: Oh my OHIO!

CURRENT ELECTORAL: (270 needed to win)
BUSH - 254 ..... KERRY - 252

(According to Yahoo, who has given Nevada to Bush for some reason. 2:19am PT)

Graphic should update when you refresh the page. Click it for details...

ReddIt this story!



LIVE Election Day Blogging...
(Scroll down for UPDATES throughout the day...)
By Brad Friedman on 11/2/2004 1:52am PT  

UPDATE: 11:10am PT Reporting the same that we're hearing everywhere. Lines at my polling place were like none I've ever seen. I did, however, vote much earlier than I usually do, so I asked a long time poll worker what it's been like in comparison to the past. Their reply; "It's been non-stop. I've never seen it like this".

One more notable observation - In my decade of voting at the same polling place, I don't believe I've ever seen a single poll worker under the age of 75. Today, however, I was signed in by someone who was 20 if he was a day, confirmed by a woman who was mid to late 30's, and there were at least twice as many poll workers total as I've ever seen before.

It's a great day for Democracy. So far.

Here's my prediction for today from Oct. 11th, that I am still standing by. It's called "The Blueing of America".

UPDATE: 11:23am PT Let's hope Drudge --- with siren --- has this one right!

KERRY CAMPAIGN FINDS COMFORT IN FIRST BATCH OF EXIT POLLS
Election 2004 has been rocked with first wave of exit polls which show Kerry competitive in key states, campaign and media sources tell DRUDGE...National Election Pool --- representing six major news organization --- shows Kerry in striking distance --- with small lead --- in Florida and Ohio..."

If accurate, that report is extremely notable as the first wave of exit polls usually favors Republicans since they historically vote earlier. On the other hand, with Drudge running it, it could be a warning shout-out for the wingnuts to get to the polls! Rush is already discounting the report as "unimportant". :-)

UPDATE: 11:48am PT Rush going out of his way to find any way to discount those exit polls! Including a report from a "Republican Insider" source who he "cannot name" who says they cannot confirm the above report. Right.

UPDATE: 12:27pm PT Hannity in a panic on the radio, though trying to keep up a good game face. Drudge now modifies his report to add "...But early sample was based on a 59- 41 women to men ratio" and both Rush and Sean are sticking with that part of the story.

Here are the actual early numbers as reported by Drudge, but quickly taken down from his site. They were also reported elsewhere:

_ _ _ AZ CO LA PA OH FL MI NM MN WI IA NH
Kerry 45 48 42 60 52 51 51 50 58 52 49 57
_Bush 55 51 57 40 48 48 47 48 40 43 49 41

UPDATE: 12:41pm PT Newt on Sean reports again on the already discredited Philly E-machine story. Desperation at work.

UPDATE: 12:57pm PT Slate has slightly different numbers on a few states than the ones posted above. They seem more in line with reality to me. As well, they have notable reports for Nevada and North Carolina!

_ _ _ CO PA FL OH NV NC
Kerry 46 54 50 50 48 49
_Bush 53 45 49 49 50 51

UPDATE: 1:30pm PT "A VIEW FROM THE RIGHT....Panic at The Corner" via Kevin Drum.

CRIMINEY! [Jonah Goldberg]
I went out for a brief lunch with missus and I come back to discover things are going south? What the...? From what I'm hearing, Florida's an uphill climb right now and New Hampshire's a lost cause. Trying to nail things down.

Keep an eye on the live panicky monkey chatter here.

UPDATE: 2:11pm PT Third round of exit polling data. This time from Raw Story.

_ _ _ CO PA OH FL MI NM MN WI IA NH ME NV AR NC
Kerry 49 58 52 52 51 49 57 53 50 58 49 48 45 47
_Bush 50 42 47 48 48 49 42 47 48 41 49 49 54 53

These look very good. Though I believe I've been deficient in cautioning against irrational exhuberance and to encourage you to take these numbers with several grains of salt. None the less, the early words seem well in favor of Good over Evil.

UPDATE: 2:35pm PT Zogby's Final Call (as of 5pm ET):

Bush: 213
Kerry: 311
Too Close To Call: NV(4) and CO(9)

(Thanks Jaime for all various updated!)

UPDATE: 2:50pm PT 4pm ET exit poll data from Slate. Kerry's lead is holding and improving if these numbers are any good. Note that states like CO and NV are seriously in play. Not a good sign for BushCo by any stretch of the imagination.

_ _ _ CO PA OH FL MI NM MN WI IA NH ME NV CO AR NC
Kerry 46 58 52 52 51 49 57 53 50 58 55 48 49 45 47
_Bush 53 42 47 48 48 49 42 47 48 41 44 49 50 54 53

UPDATE: 3:02pm PT Mystery Pollster gives good reason to be very cautious about these exit poll numbers! Consider yourself warned. Stop reading these numbers and GET OUT THE VOTE! :-)

UPDATE: 3:09pm PT "Nothing is real" --- an apt phrase from the monkey corner:

THIS IS WHAT MATTERS [Kathryn Jean Lopez]
This, by way of he who is, in my humble opinion, one of the smartest polling minds around (I won't tell you who that is so no polling mind is offended): Nothing is real. I repeat, Nothing is real until the precincts start coming in. So the results are not real until much later. This smart person is not at all paniced, because what matters, isn't here yet.

Nope. No "panice" there.

UPDATE: 3:29pm PT Again from Slate...And not as wide a national margin as I'd like it to be! Get to work peeps!:

In the national exit poll, Kerry leads Bush 51-48. In Wisconsin he's up by three and in Ohio and Florida he leads by one.

UPDATE: 3:46pm PT Drudge, who had previously stopped reporting exit data, has resumed with a bit:

KERRY, BUSH TIED IN OHIO SHOWDOWN, EXITS; KERRY +2 IN FLORIDA

First real poll closing and possible real numbers in 15 minutes...Developing...

UPDATE: 4:02pm PT First official calls from MSNBC...

PROJECTED FOR BUSH:
Indiana, Georgia, Kentucky

TOO CLOSE TO CALL:
Virginia
KY Senate race
SC Senate race

TOO EARLY TO CALL:
South Carolina

UPDATE: 4:12pm PT Final 6pm ET exit poll numbers from Raw Story...

_ _ _ CO PA OH FL MI NM MN WI IA CO NC MO AK LA AZ
Kerry 48 53 51 51 51 50 54 52 49 48 48 46 47 43 45
_Bush 51 46 49 49 47 49 44 47 49 50 52 54 53 56 55

UPDATE: 4:24pm PT From Drudge now...in red...

ENOUGH OF THE MEDIA EXITS; LETS COUNT THE PEOPLE'S VOTES!

What does that tell you? :-) --- By the way, the fact that Virginia and the KY senate races are too close to call should tell you much.

Ohio real numbers in 5 minutes...DEVELOPING...

UPDATE: 4:30pm PT From MSNBC...Notable tea leaves...

TOO CLOSE TO CALL:
Ohio (no surprise)
North Carolina(!)
Virginia(!)
North Carolina Senate Race(!)
South Carolina Senate Race(!)
Kentucky Senate Race(!)

Yo, Vegas peeps! Get to work!

UPDATE: 5:04pm PT From MSNBC...

KERRY WINS!
Illinois
New Jersey (no surprise, despite last week's fake psyop spin from the monkeys)
Massachussetts
Maryland
Connecticut
Maine
Delaware
D.C.

BUSH WINS
Tennessee
Alabama
Oklahoma

TOO CLOSE TO CALL:
Florida (surprised? ;-)
Missouri (!)

CURRENT ELECTORAL: (on both MSNBC and FOX)
Bush - 66
Kerry - 77

UPDATE: 5:15pm PT A little help from your friends? Fox calls South Carolina for Bush! Haven't seen it called anywhere else yet though....DEVELOPING...

UPDATE: 5:39pm PT LIVE and REAL Ohio Numbers here. I don't like the current percentages, but I don't know the order of reporting precincts.

CNN calls North Carolina and South Carolina for Bush (not a surprise, but would have been nice to win)

CNN's CURRENT ELECTORAL:
Bush: 102
Kerry: 77

UPDATE: 6:56pm PT Begala on CNN reports that absentee ballots from the three biggest FL counties (Palm Beach, Broward and...Volusia?) won't be counted until Thursday! Have forgotten how many votes he said that was, 400,000 or so? Urgh...

UPDATE: 7:43pm PT | NEW UPDATES WILL BE UP IN THE NEXT ENTRY...Nail-biter, huh? :-)

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As if you need any...
By Brad Friedman on 11/1/2004 10:46pm PT  

Take a look at each of these videos created by Fin of "What We Know" if you haven't seen them already. If you have, give them one last look and send them to your friends today!



How Did it
Come to This?

Angry?
Start Over!

Lone Wolf

(Not by Fin!
But Amazing!)

ReddIt this story!



DRUDGE gets it wrong again.
By Brad Friedman on 11/1/2004 10:28pm PT  

Wondering what happened to that bogus little Schwarzkopf story that headlined Drudge all day today? The one claiming that the DNC was sending out faked auto-phonecalls to voters in swing states supposedly from the General endorsing Kerry? That story that all the wingnuts were going on and on about all day?

Turns out it wasn't the DNC who created the fake. Surprised? I didn't think so. Atrios has all the goods.

And no, Drudge's incorrect story does not appear in his archives. When he gets it wrong --- as he frequently does --- the evidence disappears along with the truth.

UPDATE: Something odd going on with Atrios' links. If the one above doesn't work, go to Atrios' main page and scroll down to the "Funny Monkeys" story that I was trying to link to originally here.

UPDATE: Another Drudge story, appearing today and still there, about problems with E-machines in Philly, is also wrong. Beware the Rightwing Blogs/Websites/Radio Shows today! They are inventing the case they intend to make tonight in the event that it's close. Which it won't be.

ReddIt this story!



Our long national nightmare may soon be over.
By Brad Friedman on 11/1/2004 9:53pm PT  

Over the course of at least the last six months, we believe we have laid out the irrefutably damning case against George W. Bush on this blog and have demonstrated honest and specific evidence for that case in these pages.

His historically unprecedented failures and deficiencies as both "President" and "Commander-in-Chief" of this country have been well documented here and elsewhere for anyone who has been willing and able to look beyond their own partisan biases at the stark and plain truth of those failures.

To that end, the BRAD BLOG strongly anti-endorses George W. Bush for President.

We believe that Mr. Bush deserves a swift and decisive removal from office and every American should do anything within their power to help achieve that aim and --- in doing so --- see to it that our long national nightmare may finally be over.

If you happen to vote in a state where you feel the results of the election may be close in any way, shape or form, we recommend you support your country and the world you live in by voting proudly for John Kerry.

If you happen to vote in a "red" state, we also recommend that you support your country and the world you live in by voting for John Kerry as I believe that if you do, Mr. Bush may well receive a few surprises on Election Day. Some previously "red" states may well magically find themselves turning "blue". As well, since it's important that a Kerry victory be decisive if there is to be even a remote chance of healing the partisan hell we've been through for at least four years, a decisive popular majority for Kerry is essential.

Finally, if you live in a solid "blue" state, like myself, then I'd suggest you do as I plan to: Vote your conscience.

There are some very serious problems in our country and world right now, and almost all of them are directly tied to the failings and collusions of our corrupt monolithic two-party system.

I look forward with great anticipation to a Kerry victory so that honest, informed Americans, who have witnessed what has happened to our country over the last 20 years, may soon stand some hope of beginning to correct the dangerous governmental/corporate corrosive course that is tearing our society and civilization apart at it's very core. Unfortunately, the fissures in that core now run directly and painfully through your house, your pocket book, and your true and honest American values.

That long course will be a difficult one even with John Kerry in office. It will be nothing short of impossible, however, with George W. Bush --- a man with neither understanding nor sympathy for anything resembling true, core, American values --- occupying his destructive helm for another four years.

To that end, I encourage you, dear BRAD BLOG readers, to do what you must on Election Day to help change the course of history and our beloved country by removing George W. Bush --- once and for all --- from the office he never should have occupied in the first place.

Quoting again from a great American: You have the power! You have the power! You have the power!

Now get out and use that power to vote and to get out the vote and, in doing so, help save your world.

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'Hannity & Colmes' Much Closer to Fair and Balanced Tonight!
By Brad Friedman on 11/1/2004 7:47pm PT  

Well, your email paid off! As much, perhaps, as we could hope given that we're dealing with the Republican behemoth that is the Fox "News" Channel. So all in all, a job well done, guys! It pays to make noise and fight for your Democracy.

As originally reported here, the Hannity & Colmes show had announced on Friday that tonight's guests would be:

ON THE RIGHT: Karl Rove, Dick Morris, William Weld
ON THE LEFT: Bill Richardson

By the time tonight's show aired, Morris and Weld on the Right were dumped, and Terry McAuliffe added on the Left. Unfortunately, Jeb Bush (obviously on the Right) was added as well. Yet, on it's face, it appeared to be more "Fair and Balanced" as such:

ON THE RIGHT: Karl Rove, Jeb Bush
ON THE LEFT: Bill Richardson, Terry McAuliffe

Well, that looks more "Fair & Balanced", doesn't it? But here was the actual show breakdown (Right leaning segments bold)

SEGMENT 1: Jeb Bush
SEGMENT 2: Jeb Bush
SEGMENT 3: Bill Richardson
SEGMENT 4: Karl Rove
(Seg 4 Rove interview by Hannity only! Colmes not allowed!)

SEGMENT 5: Terry McAuliffe

Final tally was 3 segments with the Right (one that Hannity had all to himself) and only 2 segments with the Left.

As I've mentioned in the past, my source inside H&C tells me that they have a very difficult time getting the DNC and Kerry campaign to cooperate and give them guests for the show. The theory --- a mostly plausible one --- is that Fox is so far to the Right, the Dems feel they won't get a fair shake when they go on.

I share my sources belief, however, that it's foolish for the Dems to simply write off Fox "News" in the bargain.

Yes, of course they won't get a fair shake on Fox, but it's better to show up and represent as best they can than to allow Fox to overweight with Republicans, or worse, stick someone like Pat Cadell on there and call him a "Democratic Consultant" when he hasn't worked or supported any Democrats since, I believe, Jimmy Carter! Or have Susan Estrich on there --- who worked for Arnold Schwarzenegger! --- and call her a "Democratic Consultant".

Like it or not, more Americans watch Fox these days for political news than anybody else --- and it's not all hard right wingnuts. There are a lot of reasonable, normal, Left-leaning Americans that watch FNC as well! I'm certainly one of them! Frankly because it's not quite as dull as it's competition (who are only slightly less slanted to the Right these days). So it's imperative that Dems show up and at least fight on that turf to try anyway to partially balance Fox's constant imbalance.

If I hear from my source any plausible explanation as to why H&C still managed to skew things to the Right tonight, on Election Eve of all nights --- even though they had a seemingly even number of Democrats to interview --- I'll update this item.

Other than that, I'm without ammunition to defend it. So instead, I'll just leave you with this exchange from the end of the segment tonight with McAuliffe:

MCAULIFFE: Fair and balanced, baby!
HANNITY: Well, we let you on...that's about as fair and balanced as we can get.

I guess it is.

ReddIt this story!



Using Osama bin Laden to Support George W. Bush!
By Brad Friedman on 11/1/2004 5:14pm PT  

Last night, wingnut blog "Little Green Footballs" posted about the "missing 12 minutes" from the Osama bin Laden tapes and quoted from a NY Post story about it. Here's some of what they quoted as being in the "missing 12 minutes":

bin Laden bemoans the recent democratic elections in Afghanistan and the lack of violence involved with it.

On the tape, bin Laden also says his terror organization has been hurt by the U.S. military's unrelenting manhunt for him and his cohorts on the Afghan-Pakistani border.

Unfortunately for them (and frankly for everyone in America) the full transcript of the tape has now been posted by Al Jazeera. It says nothing of the kind.

Still, if these guys can make the argument that "bin Laden endorses Kerry!" they'll be happy to use this terrorist to support their own desperate campaign to pull victory from the jaws of imminent defeat.

Many of the Rightwing blogs have been posting the same, and of course, not bothering to update their posts with the corrected info --- showing that they were wrong --- once the full transcript came out.

ReddIt this story!



By Brad Friedman on 11/1/2004 3:53pm PT  

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By Brad Friedman on 11/1/2004 2:18pm PT  

These online polls are read on the air! Their emotional effect on the electorate is NOT TO BE DISCOUNTED! Balance the lack of balance in their viewership/listenership by voting NOW!

Hannity's poll (bottom left on page):
Who do you think Bin Laden was endorsing in his recent tape?
BUSH or Kerry?

O'Reilly's poll:
Who do you think will win the election?
Bush or KERRY?

UPDATE: This MSNBC Poll also needs help!

It's now all in the PsyOps folks! As I'm sure Karl Rove would be happy to tell you!

ReddIt this story!



By Brad Friedman on 11/1/2004 1:38pm PT  

No, not Iraq. Voting in California!

The California Voter's Guide mailed to us is 165 pages! And the supplemental is another 21 pages!

At least 16 State Propositions and about 5 local ones...Yeesh. What the hell do we bother to elect a state legislature for anyway?!

This is getting ridiculous! And as California goes...so goes the country. Beware!

ReddIt this story!



Bush Camp Continues to Arrest Those Who Support Kerry
By Brad Friedman on 11/1/2004 12:05pm PT  

ABC producers tested the T-shirt experiment of wearing Kerry shirts to a Bush event, and Bush shirts to a Kerry event. At the Bush events they were either not allowed in or tossed out. The worst treatment received at the Kerry event was folks who danced around them with big signs in order to obstruct the view of the Bush shirts by TV cameras. (emphasis mine)

A second team of ABC News producers waited until entering Space Coast stadium before showing its Kerry-Edwards T-shirts, but was still quickly spotted and ordered out by Borman, who identified himself as working for the Republican National Committee.

He said the rally of some 18,000 people was a "private event," and it made no difference that producers Christine Romo and Jessica Wang had tickets and remained silent and respectful.

"But you wore the shirts; you wore the shirts," Borman said. "And honestly, if you would have come without the shirts and sat quietly, you would have had a fun time and enjoyed it, but I mean it's not that kind of event." He then instructed the sheriff's deputies to escort the ABC News team out to the parking lot.

This was hardly the first time those wearing dissenting T-shirts have been forced to leave a Bush campaign event.

Jeff Rank and his wife, Nicole, were arrested July 4 at a Bush rally in Charleston, W.Va., for wearing shirts that read "Love America, Hate Bush" and refusing to relocate to an area for protesters. Earlier this month, at a Bush event in Cedar Point, Ore., Janet Voorhies and two friends were ejected for wearing T-shirts with "Protect Our Civil Liberties" printed on them.

"I think this represents a low point in public discourse in this country, where the mere sign of disagreement is intolerable to candidates," Post said. "That can't be right. That can't be American."

A Kerry staffer at an Oct. 24 Kerry rally in Boca Raton, Fla., told Bush-Cheney T-shirt wearers that the campaign held a permit to rent the site and could remove anyone who made a disturbance.

"We hold the right to remove you, but other than that, enjoy and hopefully at the end of the event you'll want to wear a Kerry T-shirt," he said.

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Show is tonight! Election Eve!
Send Email NOW!!!
By Brad Friedman on 11/1/2004 11:31am PT  

Hannity & Colmes now announcing that Jeb Bush is added to tonight's show!!!

See this article if you haven't already on the stacked deck they're getting ready to present tonight! (So far, 4 from the Right --- now including Rove, Morris and Jeb Bush --- and 1 from the Left!)

colmes@foxnews.com, Comments@foxnews.com, mm-tips@mediamatters.org, mm-actions@mediamatters.org, Write">TheBradBlog@cville.com\">Write those letters!!! Just a few hours left before airtime! Get the word out!

GOOD NEWS UPDATE: Just heard from my source: Terry McAullife now added to show for balance! Your letters are working! Keep it up! You are making a difference!!!

FINAL UPDATE: Victory (mostly)! Final lineup: 2 guests from the Right, 2 from the Left. But H&C managed incredibly to skew it to the right anyway. Click here to read how.

ReddIt this story!



Website suggestion to shoot Democrat leaders!
By Brad Friedman on 11/1/2004 11:05am PT  

Josh Marshall reports on a group calling themselves the "Florida Leadership Council" circulating a flyer now down there. Here's the actual flyer. Here's Josh's summary:

The headline reads: "First Day of School: Eighth Grade South Florida Middle School, 2007"

Under that is a class of school children wearing gas masks and beneath that is the following faux-AP story ...

(AP) Florida Red Zone --- August 14th, 2007 --- President Kerry warned parents and children in South Florida that mandatory radiation and chemical gear would be required to be worn "for the forseeable future" since the Suitcase Dirty Bomb terrorist attack on South Florida in the spring. The first day of school was chaotic, as teachers and school officials attempted to bring some ...

Perhaps even more troubling, however, is that when clicking on the link to the "Florida Leadership Council" there are continuing gunshots heard when looking at the front page. Three rifle shots, every 10 seconds or so.

It seems to be tied to an ad against U.S. Senate candidate Betty Castor (who is in a tight race down there), which is right next to pictures of Democrat/Liberal figureheads with the text "It's time to fight back - before it's too late."

ReddIt this story!



If ya can't beat 'em...Cheat.
By Brad Friedman on 10/31/2004 8:52pm PT  

Kos documents nearly a dozen late on-going voter suppression schemes now in play. Old tactics back in the game. Apparently, big time.

That looks to be the strategy from here on out. Suppression. Along with their already telegraphed tactic of continually suggesting that Democrats are doing precisely what it is the GOP intends to do.

By any means necessary. Anything to win.

UPDATE: Here's a perfect example of charging Dems with precisely what the GOP is doing!

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Or, We'll all in this together.
Or, "Souls...get your souls here! Going fast! Going Cheap!"
By Brad Friedman on 10/31/2004 8:21pm PT  

"NEWS CORP.'S Fox News was incorrectly described in a page-one article Monday as being sympathetic to the Bush cause."
-- A "correction" posted Wednesday by Wall Street Journal. (Hat tip BeliefNet's Jesse Kornbluth.)

Is there no end to the twists and turns in the warped and log-rolled corridors of Bizarro World?

ReddIt this story!



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