(October) suprise!!!
The Repubs are going to squeal like piglets if the Dems come up winning

IF A US AIRCRAFT CARRIER IS SUNK OFF THE COAST OF IRAN IN THE DAYS PRECEDING THE ELECTION, THIS ISRAELI DOLPHIN CLASS SUB WILL HAVE BEEN RESPONSIBLE:

http://www.israeli-weapo...val/dolphin/Dolphin.html

In May 2000 Israel is reported to have secretly carried out its first test launches from two German-built Dolphin-class submarines of cruise missiles capable of carrying nuclear warheads. Israel is reported to possess a 200kg nuclear warhead, containing 6kg of plutonium, that could be mounted on cruise missiles.
http://www.israeli-weapo..._turbo/Popeye_Turbo.html

CONSIDERING HOW HARD IT IS TO SINK A US AIRCRAFT CARRIER (IT TOOK 25 DAYS TO SINK THE USS AMERICA):
http://www.cdnn.info/news/industry/i050522a.html

Here is the DRESS REHEARSAL for the sinking of the USS Enterprise:
http://www.usatoday.com/...06-05-17-ship-reef_x.htm

HERE IS THE FEARED FALSE FLAG ATTACK TO JUSTIFY ISRAEL'S NUKING OF IRAN AND MARTIAL LAW IN THE US:
http://iraqwar.mirror-world.ru/article/104451

IF ISRAEL HADN'T DONE THE EXACT SAME THING IN THE PAST, AND HAD MCCAIN NOT ACTIVELY COVERED IT UP, WE MIGHT ALL BE MORE CONFIDENT THAT THEY WOULDN'T DO IT AGAIN.

ISRAEL'S ATTACK ON "LIBERTY"
http://www.lewrockwell.com/orig/margolis12.html

MC CAIN'S ROLE IN THE COVERUP:
http://www.dissidentvoic.../July2004/Hughes0712.htm

9/11 was a False Flag attack coordinated by the Bush Administration and Israel. The "NEXT 9/11" which Cheney has guaranteed us is coming is also guaranteed by him to result in a strike against Iran with nuclear weapons:

Cheney's proposed "contingency plan" did not focus on preventing a Second 9/11. The Cheney plan is predicated on the presumption that Iran would be behind a Second 9/11 and that punitive bombings could immediately be activated.

READ THIS!
http://www.onlinejournal...blish/article_1096.shtml

They've telegraphed the entire event. Demand that Israel keep its subs in port and away from US vessels.

.

FALSE FLAG ATTACK COMING ANY DAY…

BUSH:

President Bush gently admonished his father for saying he hates to think what life would be like for his son if the Democrats win control of Congress in the November 7 election.

"He shouldn't be speculating like this, because --- he should have called me ahead of time and I'd tell him they're not going to (win)," a smiling Bush told ABC "This Week"

http://today.reuters.com...l&src=rss&rpc=22

WHY ALL THE CONFIDENCE, GEORGE?

GOT RIGGED ELECTIONS & MARTIAL LAW?

MC CAIN:

In an interview with Chris Matthews, John McCain was pressed to explain just where another 100,000 troops are supposed to come from for Iraq:

"I don't think we need to think of the draft again because I don't think it makes sense in a whole variety of ways. But I guarantee you, if these young people felt that this nation was in a crisis and we asked them to serve, virtually every one of them would stand up because I have the greatest confidence in the young people of America."

(Transcript at: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/15330717/)

CRISIS?

WHAT CRISES?

ARE WE IN A CRISIS, OR ARE YOU FORETELLING ONE?

See the connection? Both of these men are tipping their hand to a pending “CRISIS” that will solve both the recruitment problem and win (OR CANCEL) the elections.

JOHN MC CAIN – YOU’VE GOT FOREKNOWLEDGE OF A PENDING ATTACK. EXPOSE IT TO PREVENT IT – OR SUFFER THE CONSEQUENCES.

Is THIS the pending CRISIS?

http://iraqwar.mirror-world.ru/article/104451

Here is the DRESS REHEARSAL for the sinking of the USS Enterprise:

http://www.usatoday.com/...06-05-17-ship-reef_x.htm

McCain's Dad covered up Israel's attack on the USS Liberty - is history repeating?

http://www.lewrockwell.com/orig/margolis12.html

The stranglehold of AIPAC

THE ARCHITECTS OF TERROR ARE IN THE WHITE HOUSE.

WITHOUT TERROR - THEY HAVE NO POWER.

IT IS THEY WHO ARE ATTACKING US.

.

.

ISRAEL'S ATTACK ON "LIBERTY"

http://www.lewrockwell.com/orig/margolis12.html

Why did Israel try to sink a naval vessel of its benefactor and ally? Most likely because 'Liberty's' intercepts flatly contradicted Israel's claim, made at the war's beginning on 5 June, that Egypt had attacked Israel, and that Israel's massive air assault on three Arab nations was in retaliation. In fact, Israel began the war by a devastating, Pearl-Harbor style surprise attack that caught the Arabs in bed and destroyed their entire air forces.

Israel was also preparing to attack Syria to seize its strategic Golan Heights. Washington warned Israel not to invade Syria, which had remained inactive while Israel fought Egypt. Bamford says Israel's offensive against Syria was abruptly postponed when 'Liberty' appeared off Sinai, then launched once it was knocked out of action. Israel's claim that Syria had attacked it could have been disproved by 'Liberty.'

MC CAIN'S ROLE IN THE COVERUP:

Liberty Cover-Up and John McCain’s Conscience

Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) is the “Conscience of the Senate.” Nevertheless, he won’t come clean about what really happened to the USS Liberty, at the hands of the Israelis.

One of the Navy bigwigs pushing hard for a sanitized Liberty inquiry was none other than Sen. McCain’s father, Admiral John S. McCain, Jr., Commander-in-Chief, Naval Forces Europe. He wanted the investigation done in less than a week. Boston said a “proper inquiry would take at least six months.” Admiral McCain also wouldn’t permit Admiral Kidd to travel to Israel or to contact any potential Israelis witnesses. In fact, according to Boston, the written affidavits of 60 witnesses from the Liberty itself, who were hospitalized at the time of the restricted Inquiry, were also excluded from the final report and not considered as part of the evidentiary record. Boston is convinced, too, that the Israelis’ machine-gunning of the Liberty’s lifeboats, while the crew was trying desperately to assist their colleagues that were seriously wounded, was “a war crime.”

http://www.dissidentvoic.../July2004/Hughes0712.htm

.

Hey McCain tell the truth, they probably won't institute a draft that would wake up too many Americans. They'll just recruit more mercenaries from Pakistan(home of CIA trained Bin Laden if still alive and our ally?????), India, Phillipines, and where ever else they can exploit the poor. I've been passing out the documentary, Iraq For Sale:The War Profiteers. Definately an eye opener, check it out on line: iraqforsale.org.

Brad, can e-vote machines be recounted?

Plunger: I agree with you, they are way too confident, and there is going to be an October surprise, along the lines of what you are saying. In less than 3 weeks...I say, this administration didn't wreck our country since 9/11, with the intent of just "walking away" or losing the House and/or Senate, and therefore full power...

Mostly on topic, but a holdover from quite awhile back: Bluebear2, I think I found the election my friend had referred to where he thought the Democrats had prematurely sworn someone in as happened with Brian Bilbray. This morning he sent me an article about upcoming electronic voting problems that appears to be in today's Wall Street Journal. Here are the four relevant paragraphs:

At this late stage, it's unrealistic to believe that many of the potential problems in this year's election can be guarded against. So after the inevitable recounts and court cases that will accompany any very close election, there is also the chance that this year's disappointed candidates will take their case to Congress. Both the House and Senate are each legally the final judge of any disputed election. If control of each chamber hinges on a couple of razor-thin races, look for lengthy floor debates to be held over who really won each seat.

Sometimes such disputes can drag on. In 1974, New Hampshire Democrat John Durkin ran for the Senate and very narrowly lost. A recount then overturned that original result and gave him a 10-vote lead over Republican Louis Wyman. But the state's Ballot Law Commission recounted the ballots again and found Wyman the winner by two votes. Mr. Durkin had no real evidence of fraud, but he contested the election anyway. The Democratic-controlled Senate sided with him and refused to honor the state's certification. The seat remained vacant for seven months. The debate over it spanned 100 hours over a month's time with 35 inconclusive roll calls--and at the time Democrats had a solid Senate majority. Imagine how bitter the debate would be over contested seats if the Senate is closely divided after next month's elections. (The 1975 impasse ended only after Mr. Durkin agreed to a special election, which he won.)

Ten years later, it was the House's turn to have a vicious dispute over a contested election, this time in Indiana. After a recount, Republican Richard McIntyre was declared the winner by 34 votes over Democratic incumbent Frank McCloskey. The Indiana secretary of state, a Republican, certified the McIntyre victory, but the Democratic House refused to seat him and left the seat vacant for four months while a special task force recounted all the ballots. The task force decided--and the full House agreed along party lines--that the Democrat had won by four votes. Republicans charged that the Democrats had recounted the ballots until their man was ahead and then promptly shut down the count. Newt Gingrich, the future House speaker, labeled the refusal to seat the certified winner "the Watergate of the House," and led a walkout of GOP members from the chamber.

"The problem with these kinds of close votes . . . [is that] it always produces wounds on the losing side," Leon Panetta, a Democratic former congressman who was a member of the 1984 task force and later President Clinton's chief of staff, told Roll Call, the Capitol Hill newspaper. "And if there are already existing divisions, it will certainly exacerbate those differences, there is no question about it." In other words, if you think this campaign is angry and bitter, wait till you see the debate over any contested elections.

These are the congressional elections most likely to be stolen.

THE SENATE: A MONTE CARLO ELECTION SIMULATION FORECAST

1000 simulated trial elections
Based on Polls as of Oct.14

Current Senate: 55 GOP; 44 Dem; 1 Ind

THESE ARE THE 9 CRITICAL RACES:
NJ, TN, VA, MO, CT, MT, OH, PA, RI

The Dems need to hold their lead in NJ and win 6 of the other 8 seats for a 50-49-1 majority. They have solid leads in 5 GOP seats, a narrow lead in TN, and are slightly behind in VA. Lieberman (Ind) is far ahead in CT. Assuming they win the 5 solid GOP seats and retain NJ seat, they need to win either VA or TN for a majority.

VA and TN should be CLOSELY MONITORED FOR FRAUD.

Sensitivity Analysis
——————–
Assuming ZERO election fraud and that the Democrats capture 60% of the undecided vote (UVA), then if the election was today there is a 99% probability that they will win a 50-49 senate majority. The win probability is slightly lower (91%) if the undecided vote is split (50% UVA).

UVA 50 55 60 67 75
N ——-Win Probability—–
6… 91 96 99 100 100
7…. 9 15 22 33 50
8…. 0 0 0 0 0

UVA is the Democratic undecided voter allocation (%)

Senate Polling Detail
———————
(C) indicates a critical race
PROB is the probability of a Democratic win (assuming a 60% UVA)

STATE DEM;GOP DEM% GOP% PROB
Unweighted Poll Average: 49.5% 42.2% 74.3%

1 AZ Pedersen;Kyle 44 51 0.0%
2 CA Feinstein;Mountjoy 59 35 100.0%
3 CT Lamont;Liebermann 40 53 0.0% (C)
4 DE Carper;Ting 63 23 100.0%
5 FL Nelson;Harris 61 37 100.0%

6 HI Akaka; Coffee 58 30 100.0%
7 MD Cardin; Steel 53 44 100.0%
8 ME Bright;Snowe 20 68 0.0%
9 MI Stabenow; Bouchard 53 42 100.0%
10 MN Klobachar; Kennedy 53 40 100.0%

11 MT Tester;Burns 50 44 100.0% (C)
12 MO McCaskill;Talent 51 42 100.0% (C)
13 NE Nelson; Ricketts 55 32 100.0%
14 NJ Menendez; Keane 44 40 100.0% (C)
15 NM Bingaman; McCulloch 57 32 100.0%

16 NV Carter; Ensign 42 49 0.0%
17 NY Clinton; Spencer 66 31 100.0%
18 OH Brown; DeWine 54 42 100.0% (C)
19 PA Casey; Santorum 52 39 100.0% (C)
20 RI Whitehouse;Chafee 51 42 100.0% (C)

21 TN Ford; Coker 48 46 99.9% (C)
22 TX Radnofsky;Hutchison 30 54 0.0%
23 UT Asdown; Hatch 25 62 0.0%
24 VA Webb; Allen 47 49 21.7% (C)
25 VT Sanders;Torrent 64 32 100.0%

26 WA Cantwell;McGavich 54 42 100.0%
27 WI Kohl; Largo 47 34 100.0%
28 WV Byrd; Raese 63 30 100.0%
29 WY Groutage;Thomas 32 59 0.0%

___________________________________________________________

THE HOUSE: A MONTE CARLO ELECTION SIMULATION FORECAST

1000 simulated trial elections
Based on Polls as of Oct.14

Current House: 232 GOP; 202 Dem; 1 Ind

The Democrats need to capture 16 GOP seats (net) to gain control of the House.

How many of the 58-contested GOP House seats can the Democrats expect to win, assuming a FRAUD-FREE election? Corollary: How many elections will the GOP need to steal to maintain control?

In the MOST LIKELY SCENARIO that the Democrats will win 60% of the undecided vote, they can expect to capture 32 of the 58 GOP-held seats. There is a 99% probability that they will win 30 or more. Therefore, in order to retain the House, the GOP will HAVE TO STEAL A MINIMUM of 16 elections.

Of the 58 polls,
1) Democrats lead in 15 races beyond the MoE
2) Democrats lead in 11 within the MoE
3) Dems TIE the GOP in 5
4) GOP leads in 15 within the MoE
5) GOP leads in 12 beyond the MoE

THE CLOSEST RACES WITHIN THE MOE ARE THE ONES MOST LIKELY FOR FRAUD.
They are in the 22 districts between PA-6 and NY-29 displayed in this chart:
http://www.geocities.com...s1015_12021_image001.png

The analysis ASSUMES ZERO FRAUD and is based strictly on the latest poll shares, undecided voter allocation and margin of error. The model will be updated for new polling data and run again just prior to election day.

The simulation calculates the probability of the Democrats winning a specified number of the 58 seats, over a range of undecided voter allocation assumptions. It provides a VERY ROBUST ESTIMATE of the MINIMUM number of elections that would need to be stolen in order for the GOP to retain control of the House.

In a published study of over 150 incumbent elections, the challenger won the undecided vote in 82% of the races, the incumbent won in 12%, and the rest were split. Even with the VERY CONSERVATIVE ASSUMPTION that the undecided vote will be evenly split, then assuming the elections are FRAUD-FREE, the it is a virtual 100% probability that the Democrats will NET AT LEAST 25 GOP SEATS, or NINE more than the minimum required for House control.

Sensitivity Analysis
——————–
UVA: Undecided voter % allocated to Democrats
N: number of GOP seats won by Dems

UVA 50 55 60 67 75
N —— Probability % ——
25 100 100 100 100 100
30 35 85 99 100 100
35 0 3 30 90 100
40 0 0 0 5 70
45 0 0 0 0 1

Assumimg a 60% UVA, these are the probabilities of the Democrats winning N or more seats:
N… 25 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39
Prob 100 99 96 86 75 51 30 13 4 1 0

This chart displays the probability curve:
http://www.geocities.com...s1015_30243_image001.png

House Polling Detail
——————–

Adjusted: Dem & GOP polls (60% undecided to Democrat)
Prob: probability of Democratic win

Num District Pollster Poll MoE Poll Dem GOP Adjusted Prob
Code Average Sample 3.80 Date 45.4 45.9 50.6 49.4 57.8%

1 AZ 1 RT Strategies 983 LV 3.09 10/10 50 46 52.4 47.6 99.9%
2 AZ 5 SurveyUSA 509 LV 4.40 10/15 45 48 49.2 50.8 23.8%
3 AZ 8 Zogby 500 LV 4.50 10/2 45 37 55.8 44.2 100.0%
4 CA 4 RT Strategies 997 LV 3.09 10/10 44 52 46.4 53.6 0.0%
5 CA 11 Greenberg 413 LV 4.90 9/26 48 46 51.6 48.4 90.0%

6 CA 50 SurveyUSA 540 LV 4.30 9/12 40 54 43.6 56.4 0.0%
7 CO 4 Mason-Dixon 400 LV 5.00 10/7 36 46 46.8 53.2 0.6%
8 CO 5 Mason-Dixon 400 LV 5.00 10/7 37 37 52.6 47.4 97.9%
9 CO 7 RT Strategies 991 LV 3.09 10/10 47 47 50.6 49.4 77.7%
10 CT 2 Zogby 500 LV 4.50 10/2 41 44 50.0 50.0 50.0%

11 CT 4 Zogby 500 LV 4.50 10/2 46 41 53.8 46.2 100.0%
12 CT 5 RT Strategies 996 LV 3.09 10/10 46 52 47.2 52.8 0.0%
13 FL 13 RT Strategies 1024 LV 3.07 10/10 47 44 52.4 47.6 99.9%
14 FL 16 RT Strategies 1001 LV 3.09 10/1 50 43 54.2 45.8 100.0%
15 FL 22 RT Strategies 1022 LV 3.10 8/29 44 52 46.4 53.6 0.0%

16 ID 1 RT Strategies 998 LV 3.09 10/10 43 49 47.8 52.2 0.3%
17 IL 6 RT Strategies 997 LV 3.07 10/10 47 47 50.6 49.4 77.8%
18 IL 10 Mellman Group 400 LV 4.90 10/11 32 49 43.4 56.6 0.0%
19 IL 14 RT Strategies 1003 LV 3.08 10/10 42 52 45.6 54.4 0.0%
20 IL 19 RT Strategies 1023 LV 3.08 10/10 36 53 42.6 57.4 0.0%

21 IN 2 RT Strategies 989 LV 3.07 10/10 50 46 52.4 47.6 99.9%
22 IN 8 Indiana State 626 LV 3.90 10/12 55 32 62.5 37.5 100.0%
23 IN 9 SurveyUSA 512 LV 4.40 10/15 48 46 51.6 48.4 92.3%
24 IA 1 Bennett, Petts 400 RV 4.90 10/8 48 37 57.0 43.0 100.0%
25 IA 2 RT Strategies 1006 LV 3.09 10/10 48 47 51.0 49.0 89.8%

26 KY 3 RT Strategies 996 LV 3.09 10/10 48 48 50.4 49.6 69.4%
27 KY 4 RT Strategies 1000 LV 3.09 10/10 46 49 49.0 51.0 10.2%
28 MN 1 RT Strategies 1024 LV 3.08 10/10 47 48 50.0 50.0 50.0%
29 MN 2 SurveyUSA 519 LV 4.40 10/15 42 50 46.8 53.2 0.2%
30 MN 6 RT Strategies 995 LV 3.09 10/10 50 45 53.0 47.0 100.0%

31 NV 3 Mason-Dixon 400 RV 5.00 9/21 37 47 46.6 53.4 0.4%
32 NH 1 Research 2000 300 LV 6.00 9/14 31 56 38.8 61.2 0.0%
33 NH 2 Univ of NH 220 LV 6.20 9/24 36 46 46.8 53.2 2.2%
34 NJ 7 RT Strategies 1022 LV 3.10 10/10 46 48 49.6 50.4 30.6%
35 NM 1 RT Strategies 986 LV 3.09 10/10 52 44 54.4 45.6 100.0%

36 NY 3 RT Strategies 984 LV 3.09 10/10 46 48 49.6 50.4 30.6%
37 NY 19 Abacus Assoc 600 RV 4.00 9/15 44 49 48.2 51.8 3.9%
38 NY 20 Grove Insight 400 RV 4.90 10/13 41 42 51.2 48.8 83.1%
39 NY 24 RT Strategies 1029 LV 3.07 10/10 53 42 56.0 44.0 100.0%
40 NY 26 RT Strategies 1056 LV 3.07 10/10 56 40 58.4 41.6 100.0%

41 NY 29 Cooper&Secrest 503 LV 4.40 9/21 39 43 49.8 50.2 42.9%
42 NC 8 RT Strategies 1029 LV 3.08 10/10 51 44 54.0 46.0 100.0%
43 NC 11 RT Strategies 979 LV 3.09 10/10 51 43 54.6 45.4 100.0%
44 OH 1 Anzalone-Liszt 500 LV 4.40 8/01 45 45 51.0 49.0 81.4%
45 OH 2 RT Strategies 1003 LV 3.09 10/10 48 45 52.2 47.8 99.7%

46 OH 6 RT Strategies 982 LV 3.10 8/29 56 40 58.4 41.6 100.0%
47 OH 15 RT Strategies 1015 LV 3.09 10/10 53 41 56.6 43.4 100.0%
48 OH 18 Greenberg 400 RV 5.00 10/11 48 41 54.6 45.4 100.0%
49 OK 5 SurveyUSA 435 LV 4.70 10/10 33 62 36.0 64.0 0.0%
50 PA 6 RT Strategies 1023 LV 3.07 10/10 52 46 53.2 46.8 100.0%

51 PA 7 RT Strategies 1017 LV 3.08 10/10 52 44 54.4 45.6 100.0%
52 PA 8 Grove Insight 400 RV 4.90 10/15 44 40 53.6 46.4 99.8%
53 PA 10 Bennett,Petts 400 RV 4.90 10/9 51 37 58.2 41.8 100.0%
54 VA 2 RT Strategies 982 LV 3.10 10/10 46 48 49.6 50.4 30.6%
55 VA 5 SurveyUSA 502 LV 4.40 10/10 40 56 42.4 57.6 0.0%

56 VA 10 RT Strategies 1004 LV 3.07 10/10 42 47 48.6 51.4 3.7%
57 WA 8 RT Strategies 1015 LV 3.09 10/10 45 48 49.2 50.8 15.5%
58 WI 8 RT Strategies 983 LV 3.09 10/10 48 46 51.6 48.4 97.9%
_________________________________________________________

GENERIC CONGRESSIONAL POLLS

The strong Democratic trend in the House continues. They currently lead the GOP by 53.5-37.0% in the 3-poll Moving Average, a 7% increase in the last month. The long-term Democratic trend has been increasing at the same rate as the rate of decrease in Other (undecided) voters. The GOP trend is flat at 38%.

If the long-term linear trend continues, the Dems will win the Generic vote in a 61-39 LANDSLIDE.
These charts display the trends during the past 12 months.

http://www.geocities.com...Trend_11372_image001.png

http://www.geocities.com...Trend_15084_image001.png

Table headings:
Dem: Democratic poll%
Rep: Republican poll%
Diff: Dem - Rep

Dem3: Democratic 3-poll moving average
Rep3: Republican 3-poll moving average
Diff3:Dem3 - Rep3

Poll Survey Dates REP DEM Other Diff Rep3 Dem3 Diff3
Number Average All 38.2 49.1 12.7 10.8 38.3 49.1 10.8
2005
1 Newsweek RV. 905 38 50 12 12 39.0 51.0 12.0
2 Pew RV…… 911 40 52 8 12 39.8 50.0 10.3
3 DemCorp LV.. 921 39 48 13 9 40.5 49.0 8.5
4 Newsweek RV. 930 42 47 11 5 40.8 47.0 6.3
5 DemCorp LV.. 1010 41 46 14 5 41.3 46.7 5.3

6 GWU LV…… 1012 41 47 13 6 37.7 44.3 6.7
7 Hotline RV.. 1016 31 40 29 9 37.0 45.0 8.0
8 DemCorp LV.. 1023 39 48 12 9 37.7 46.0 8.3
9 Gallup RV… 1023 43 50 7 7 39.7 50.0 10.3
10 ABC/WP RV… 1102 37 52 12 15 40.0 50.0 10.0

11 DemCorp LV.. 1106 40 48 12 8 37.7 51.0 13.3
12 Newsweek RV. 1105 36 53 11 17 37.0 47.3 10.3
13 Hotline RV.. 1115 35 41 24 6 37.3 47.3 10.0
14 DemCorp LV.. 1120 41 48 11 7 37.3 45.7 8.3
15 Time RV…. 1201 36 48 15 12 38.7 48.3 9.7

16 DemCorp LV.. 1204 39 49 12 10 36.0 46.3 10.3
17 CBS/NYT RV. 1206 33 42 25 9 37.7 46.7 9.0
18 DemCorp LV.. 1212 41 49 9 8 35.7 44.7 9.0
19 Hotline RV…1213 33 43 25 10 37.0 45.7 8.7
20 NPR LV…… 1218 37 45 17 8 37.0 46.3 9.3
21 ABC/WP RV… 1218 41 51 9 10 40.3 48.3 8.0

2006
22 Gallup RV… 108 43 49 8 6 39.3 47.7 8.3
23 CBS/NYT RV. 125 34 43 23 9 39.3 47.0 7.7
24 DemCorp LV.. 125 41 49 10 8 37.7 48.7 11.0
25 ABC/WP RV… 126 38 54 9 16 40.0 51.0 11.0

26 Pew RV…… 205 41 50 9 9 40.7 51.3 10.7
27 Gallup RV… 212 43 50 8 7 41.7 48.7 7.0
28 GWU LV…… 215 41 46 14 5 38.3 47.3 9.0
29 Hotline RV.. 219 31 46 23 15 37.3 46.7 9.3
30 DemCorp LV.. 227 40 48 12 8 36.7 49.0 12.3

31 Gallup RV… 301 39 53 7 14 37.7 49.7 12.0
32 FOX LV….. 301 34 48 18 14 37.3 52.0 14.7
33 Gallup RV… 312 39 55 7 16 36.7 51.7 15.0
34 NPR LV……314 37 52 11 15 38.3 52.3 14.0
35 Newsweek RV. 317 39 50 11 11 39.0 50.7 11.7

36 Time RV…. 323 41 50 9 9 38.0 48.0 10.0
37 CBS RV…. 409 34 44 22 10 38.3 49.7 11.3
38 ABC/WP RV… 409 40 55 5 15 38.7 50.3 11.7
39 Gallup RV… 409 42 52 6 10 41.0 52.7 11.7
40 Pew RV…… 416 41 51 8 10 41.0 51.0 10.0

41 CNN RV ….. 423 40 50 9 10 37.7 48.3 10.7
42 Cook…… 430 32 44 24 12 37.0 49.3 12.3
43 Gallup RV… 430 39 54 7 15 36.3 46.3 10.0
44 FOX LV….. 503 38 41 21 3 38.3 49.0 10.7
45 CNN RV ….. 507 38 52 10 14 36.3 45.7 9.3

46 CBS/NYT RV. 508 33 44 23 11 36.7 48.7 12.0
47 Newsweek RV. 512 39 50 11 11 37.3 48.7 11.3
48 ABC/WP RV… 515 40 52 9 12 38.3 47.0 8.7
49 Fabrizio LV. 517 36 39 25 3 37.3 44.3 7.0
50 Hotline RV.. 521 36 42 22 6 38.0 44.0 6.0

51 Gallup RV… 604 42 51 7 9 39.0 48.0 9.0
52 Gallup RV… 611 39 51 10 12 38.0 49.3 11.3
53 FOX LV….. 614 33 46 20 13 36.7 47.3 10.7
54 CNN RV ….. 615 38 45 16 7 36.7 47.3 10.7
55 Pew RV…… 619 39 51 10 12 37.7 45.7 8.0

56 Hotline RV.. 625 36 41 24 5 38.0 48.0 10.0
57 ABC/WP RV… 625 39 52 9 13 37.7 49.0 11.3
58 Gallup RV… 625 38 54 7 16 37.3 51.0 13.7
59 TIME LV…. 629 35 47 18 12 38.0 50.7 12.7
60 Gallup RV… 709 41 51 9 10 38.7 49.7 11.0

61 AP-Ipsos RV. 712 40 51 9 11 38.3 48.0 9.7
62 FOX LV….. 712 34 42 25 8 35.3 47.0 11.7
63 Hotline RV.. 723 32 48 20 16 33.7 45.0 11.3
64 CBS/NYT RV. 725 35 45 20 10 35.7 48.0 12.3
65 Gallup RV… 770 40 51 8 11 38.3 49.7 11.3

66 CNN RV ….. 803 40 53 7 13 39.7 52.0 12.3
67 ABC/WP RV… 806 39 52 8 13 38.7 53.3 14.7
68 AP-Ipsos RV. 809 37 55 8 18 35.3 51.7 16.3
69 FOX LV….. 809 30 48 22 18 36.0 51.0 15.0
70 Gallup RV… 810 41 50 9 9 36.7 49.7 13.0

71 Newsweek RV. 811 39 51 10 12 40.3 50.3 10.0
72 Pew RV…… 813 41 50 9 9 37.7 47.0 9.3
73 Hotline RV.. 820 33 40 27 7 39.7 45.7 6.0
74 Gallup RV… 820 45 47 7 2 40.3 46.3 6.0
75 CNN RV ….. 820 43 52 6 9 40.0 48.7 8.7

76 CBS/NYT RV. 821 32 47 21 15 38.3 50.0 11.7
77 TIME LV…. 824 40 51 9 11 36.7 49.3 12.7
78 Newsweek RV. 825 38 50 12 12 36.7 49.7 13.0
79 FOX LV….. 830 32 48 21 16 37.7 50.3 12.7
80 CNN LV ….. 902 43 53 4 10 39.0 50.3 11.3

81 ABC RV …..907 42 50 9 8 41.3 51.0 9.7
82 Pew RV…… 910 39 50 11 11 40.7 51.0 10.3
83 Gallup RV… 910 41 53 7 12 39.3 48.0 8.7
84 FOX LV….. 913 38 41 21 3 42.3 47.3 5.0
85 Gallup LV… 917 48 48 4 0 40.3 46.3 6.0

86 CBS/NYT RV. 919 35 50 15 15 41.7 51.0 9.3
87 CNN LV ….. 924 42 55 3 13 38.3 51.3 13.0
88 FOX LV….. 927 38 49 14 11 37.7 49.0 11.3
89 Hotline RV.. 927 33 43 24 10 34.7 44.7 10.0
90 Zogby LV.. 928 33 42 25 9 36.0 46.0 10.0

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CNN every day this week is running a special on "Broken Government" with a different topic each day.

Monday, Tuesday, Thursday and Friday @ 8pm ET
Wednesday @ 7pm

Should be well worth a watch IMHO. Hopefully, this series will reach some of the sheeple out there and jolt them out of their cocoons.

Keep posting those numbers, then we can see which elections were stolen, and watch how the corporate-controlled mainstream media DOESN'T REPORT ON IT! Like they didn't report on the stolen Mexico election, or the stolen senate races in 2002, or the stolen Bush elections of 2000 & 2004 where the exit polls said Bush lost, or how the Supreme Court STOPPED THE VOTE COUNT IN FLORIDA 2000 OVERTURNING THE WILL OF THE PEOPLE AND THE FLORIDA STATE SUPREME COURT and how Scalia's son was involved in the case but Scalia DID NOT RECUSE HIMSELF, BUT...they reported on the stolen Ukraine election because of certain interests of the Bush administration.

Will Lou Dobbs report on the stolen elections, if a bunch of Republicans win, and were behind in the pre-election polls? What are/will the Democrats do about it this time???

I don't know that the mailboxes the Diebold code is showing up in are all that "random" . . .

BTW - any follow-up on CA's instruction that paper ballots should be issued to any voter requesting one? Do they (or will they) have enough paper ballots for everyone?

fnordboy, bad choice of words on my part. i was trying to be funny and convey the outrageousness of the situation. but the facts speak for themselves and i should have been more precise in my language. thanks for pointing it out.

How do recounts work with e-vote machines??? Is it true that they cannot be recounted??? If so, HOW CONVENIENT! That they installed unrecountable/unsecure machines entrusted for the democracy of our country! Which we're trying to spread in Iraq????????????????

Does ABC REALLY care about electronic voting machines, or our democracy???

No wonder Bush and Rove are so convinced that the Republicans will "hold" the majority in Congress...!
Lou Dobbs, ABC, even FOX news has reported on the upcoming election fiasco...it has happened in the primaries, again and again...and has even one Democratic or Republican Senator stood up...? Is this where we finally "take" our country back from these enablers...by force if necessary..? Will Bush call out the National Guard and will FEMA declare Martial Law...? Will we become the insurgency in our own country? I would put nothing past this administration...!!

I have a voter fraud update today on my blog.

It includes the Maryland story from both the Baltimore Sun and ABC News (noted here), a problem with Sequoia in California, from the Berkeley Daily Planet, plus...a couple of terrific links (with excerpts) to stinging Op-Eds from Dick Polman in the Philadelphia Inquirer and Denver Post columnist Diane Carman.

The post, entitled, "The Nightmare Before Election Day," can be found at
http://scootmandubious.b...before-election-day.html

There's a misconception by some in the "liberal" blogosphere that BradBlog is NOT helpful to the cause of election reform.

Folks here may want to weigh in on this:

"Reports of the dangers of electronic voting at sites like BradBlog are not taken any more seriously than report of UFO’s in the National Enquirer."

Silly, silly, silly.

While we were fighting the last war to make sure the votes were being correctly counted after they were cast, the Republican thieves were fighting the NEXT war by getting somewhere between 1,000,000 and 2,000,000 Democratic-leaning voters removed from the rolls in states all across the country.

Unless we can bring to the polls such a massive groundswell of support for the Democrats, we will find that the Republicans have somehow "pulled off a miracle" and kept control of both the House and Senate.

In any close races, they will just install the Republican over the (unpublicized) objections of the Democrats and the matter will be closed.

The issue is not WHETHER the Republicans will cheat and steal to win this election, only whether they will cheat and steal ENOUGH to win, and what WE will do about it on November 8.

If you have the legal right to vote and are denied a non-provisional ballot on November 7, 2006, you should not leave the voting place unless forced to by police.

Any Democrat who believes going to court on November 8 is going to get provisional ballots counted needs to be repeatedly slapped upside the head with a copy of Judge Yuri Hofmann decision in the challenge to the CA-50 decision.

Once the Republicans (with the majority in the House and COMPLETE control of proceedings there) swear-in whomever they want, there is NOTHING that any court in the nation can do to change the results. And they have shown they are willing to do this with the flimsiest of justification --- there is nothing to prevent them from doing it to protect their party from the scrutiny of a Democratic majority with subpoena power.

I remind you, blogging will NOT be enough on November 8, and history will only laugh at you if that's all you do to resist another theft of Democracy.

Charlie L
Portland, OR
CLL2001@Gmail.com

You may be aware of the Barron's (magazine) predictions on the Republican victories in the upcoming election. Basically, they wager the guys with the most money in campaign war-chests will win 93 to 95% of the time; on that basis, Republicans will only lose 8 seats in Congress, none in the Senate (they say).

I must agree the voter suppression is likely to be the favored tactic. In Clint Curtis's case, he polls much higher among independents, but who carries independents to the polls on election day? What team of party lawyers speaks for them when they cannot get a ballot or machine breaks down? In a real way, the defective voting machine question is a foregone conclusion, we know the trainwreck is going to happen, and we should be paying attention to things that we can change on election day rather than merely watch it happen.

I think the Repubs have to sit at home disgusted AND we have to have a massive Dem turnout AND we have to have all the independents come out to vote all at once.

While I still suspect Cheney and Rove having something planned, I think their timing is off by circumstances beyond their control.

I am voting early this week. We have paper ballots.

Speaking of Liberty. Yesterday at the end of the World Series match between St Louis and Detroit, the pitcher for the Tigers was repeatedly questioned about some dirt he washed off his hands after the 1st inning..after the 3rd reporter repeated the question on FOX SPORTS, i thought why aren't these journalist and reporters actually questioning something important like the three major crisis we Americans are facing: Global Warming World Climate Change, the Constitutional Crisis and our Voting Crisis, (not 2 leave out 9/11 or the truth about IRAQ???)

Then the local news gets on and it is reported Republicans might have to reconsider staying the coarse. The lying murderer FASCIST in charge of the Executive Branch of the U.S. G.W. Bush gets on and says "One day the Iraqi Democratic government is going to have to take over to secure LIBERTY."
This lying bastard Bush and his administration has reversed over 200 environmental laws with a plan to sell the remaining Western Wild lands to his big oil developer buddies. Since attacking the US people on 9/11, he has HIJACKED our Constitution by passing the Patriot Act, Homeland Security Act, Illegal Wiretapping Americans, the totally Fascist Suspected Terrorist Act reducing our Constitutional rights and giving him more expressed power. Not to leave out every bill Bush signed to law, he attached an Executive order defining how he will use the law and how his administration will not be held accountable.

Plunger and Big Dan expect these criminal fcks to attack again to whip up the terrorist panic onto the American people as a way to explain the Bushit administration confidence of election victory. Since these bastards control the vote, NOT "WE THE PEOPLE" what gives them the authority to even hold an election without verifiable paper ballot to evidence the outcome?

Answer: The same people telling you America stands for big trucks and cars 24/7 on the TV instead of the fact the the exhaust from these TRANSPORTATION vehicles are contributing to a massive human caused disaster. Instead of urging people what can be done to try and stop this crisis while there is still a chance, it's more of the same corporate Bushit oil barons have been selling to the American pschyche for years. This is Bushit truth in 2006.

The Republicans never used the term "Stay the Course" --- not once in the last three years.

The Republicans have always believed in "Adapt to Win." It was the Democrats who were in favor of "Stay the Course." That's why we call them the "Stay and be cursed" Democrats and the "Stayocrats."

Only the Republicans can protect the Fatherland --- um, I mean Homeland --- from terrorist attack by "them bad guys that wanna git us."

Just ask FOX News... they'll tell you.

Concerned friend: No concern THERE, my friend. Whoever that guy is, he's an idiot. That is one huge load of dung I read there!

ABC: Online voter database in hacked in Chicago

http://abcnews.go.com/Po...ry?id=2601085&page=1

I watched ABC news tonight. Nothing there. What happened? Did it get bumped for a "feel good" piece on breast cancer?

Big Dan #6 and #16
As I understand it (others feel free to amend/addend), a "recount" on a DRE is a simple matter of the damned thing spitting out the same numbers it did the first time.
"Paper trails" are usually on thermal paper rolls, which fade, are easily torn, constantly run out so there will be gaps in the record, and are a nightmare to tally (try reconstructing a day's sales at a major supermarket by visually inspecting and deconstructing the register tapes.)
So, the short answer to your question is "No."

plunger #3

I'm curious as to why you didn't elaborate on the McCain appearance on Chris Mathews. Did you hear and see the students response or did you only read the transcript? There was much left out of the transcript.

Please respond.

Charley L:

Can we have your real name now? And is this what you are willing to do on election day, because I have first hand experience of what happens when you are the only one who actually protests loudly after a stolen election!

You said:

"If you have the legal right to vote and are denied a non-provisional ballot on November 7, 2006, you should not leave the voting place unless forced to by police."

Plunger:

May we also have your real name?

piss on ABC.

Either they put some real journalists on the problem or the are coveting thy enemy.

Ohio and Florida are in the forefront to stop voter exit polls,.. makes one wonder what is it these folks
fear to let the truth out,.. why do they feel a need to conceal this information from the media and general public.

The exit polls are the indicator if they gamed the count of the vote,.. if exit polls are not permitted we lose the ability to gauge if they threw the election in the favor of their fascist cronies. THAT IS WHY THEY DESIRE TO KEEP THE EXIT POLL INFO TOP SECRET !!!!

Article Link - Ohio and Florida adamant about preventing exit poll data.

Big Dan,..

Sure you can get a recount off them Electronic Voting Machines. Push the button,.. and get a machine tabulated count. You want a recount,.. push the button again,.. the machine will spit out the same machine tabulated count. Them Electronic voting machines will burp,.. fart,.. and vomit up the same number as many times as you wish. Only thing is there can be no assurance or guarantee the computer machine count is correct.

It is only a damn vote count,.. what is the big deal ? It is only democracy we are talking about here,.. if it was money or corporate profits then we would demand exactitude and audit-ability of the accuracy of the count.

FuckwithmyDEMOCRACYallyouwant,..butdon'tfuckwithmywallet.

In America monetary considerations - supersedes concern for human and constitutional rights.

I'm sorry, I feel bad about asking anybody to post their real name, I was in kind of a bad mood and it's none of my damn business. But I do think it would help, if we're to get anything done.

OT,..

FUX (fox) NEWS ? is once again masquerading as a news broadcaster,.. but in reality is acting as a info commercial producer for the Republican Party. Fear here,.. Fear there,.. FEAR EVERYWHERE,... WARNING : Do Not Vote Democratic Party Candidates.

Video link to FUX (News ? ) Fear Mongering - CRAP.

What a contrast in contradictions,...

Fux News vs MSNBC.

Olbermann finds the real war/fear mongers = RNC.

Olbermann - video link via Alternet.

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